Match Info

Girabola - Round 10

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Angola	Z Sports 1


	Guelson		Académica Petróleos

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.78	2.58
	2.8	2.84	2.65	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.5
	2.89	2.83	2.63
	2.8	2.75	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (2.8)	2.82 ↑ (2.75)	2.59 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guelson
32.7%

Draw
32.2%

Académica Petróleos
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

32.7%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

32.3%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guelson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Académica Petróleos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guelson than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académica Petróleos than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Guelson - Académica Petróleos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Guelson is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

A Petróleos's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

A Petróleos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guelson FC
Angolan Girabola
21.11.25	Guelson - Redonda	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Guelson - Primeiro de Agosto	2:3 ✺
09.11.25	Luanda City - Guelson	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Guelson - Kabuscorp	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Interclube - Guelson	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLLWL
- Académica Petróleos do Lobito
Angolan Girabola
08.11.25	Académica Petróleos - Wiliete	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Redonda - Académica Petróleos	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Académica Petróleos - Bravos do Maquis	1:0 ✺
21.10.25	Kabuscorp - Académica Petróleos	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Luanda City - Académica Petróleos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLWTT

Guelson - Académica Petróleos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide