Match Info

Girabola - Round 11

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Angola	Z Sports 1


	Guelson		Primeiro de Maio

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.78	2.62
	2.74	2.84	2.7	Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.6
	2.78	2.88	2.68
	2.71	2.8	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.55)	2.82 ↑ (2.8)	2.64 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guelson
33.3%

Draw
32.2%

Primeiro de Maio
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

31.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

33.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guelson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Primeiro de Maio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guelson than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Primeiro de Maio than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Guelson - Primeiro de Maio Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Guelson will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Primeiro de Maio will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guelson (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Guelson is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Primeiro de Maio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
7	Primeiro de Maio	5	2	1	2	6:5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guelson FC
Angolan Girabola
13.01.26	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Guelson	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	Guelson - Académica Petróleos	0:1 ✺
21.11.25	Guelson - Redonda	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Guelson - Primeiro de Agosto	2:3 ✺
09.11.25	Luanda City - Guelson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Estrela Clube Primeiro de Maio
Angolan Girabola
07.12.25	Primeiro de Maio - Lunda Sul	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Primeiro de Maio - Luanda City	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Kabuscorp - Primeiro de Maio	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Primeiro de Maio - Interclube	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Primeiro de Maio - São Salvador	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWTTL

Guelson - Primeiro de Maio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide