Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 22

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday


	Guria Lanchkhuti		Dinamo Tbilisi 2

	1	X	2
	1.18	5.73	13.59	Watch
	1.14	5.75	14.7	Watch
	1.33	4.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.33)	5.41 ↑ (4.75)	11.6 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guria Lanchkhuti
75.2%

Draw
16.9%

Dinamo Tbilisi 2
7.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.9%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

19.9%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guria Lanchkhuti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guria Lanchkhuti's performance.

Dinamo Tbilisi 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dinamo Tbilisi 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guria Lanchkhuti than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Tbilisi 2 than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dinamo Tbilisi 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Kapanadze T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, Kapanadze T. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 and 9).

In recent matches, Guria has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dinamo Tbilisi 2 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Guria has had a series of home games.

In this match, Guria is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Guria	22	16	3	3	63:11	52	51
9	Dinamo Tbilisi 2	22	9	5	8	34:30	4	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guria Lanchkhuti
Georgian Liga 3
03.09.26	Guria Lanchkhuti - Gonio	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Guria Lanchkhuti - Iberia 1999 2	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Merani Tbilisi - Guria Lanchkhuti	0:5 ✺
06.08.26	Guria Lanchkhuti - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	0:1 ✺
Georgian Cup
02.08.26	Guria Lanchkhuti - Aragvi Dusheti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLL
- Dinamo Tbilisi 2
Georgian Liga 3
03.09.26	Iberia 1999 2 - Dinamo Tbilisi 2	1:1 ✺
27.08.26	Dinamo Tbilisi 2 - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	1:1 ✺
20.08.26	Iveria Khashuri - Dinamo Tbilisi 2	2:5 ✺
13.08.26	Dinamo Tbilisi 2 - Iberia 2010	4:3 ✺
06.08.26	Kolkheti Khobi - Dinamo Tbilisi 2	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Liga 3
24.04.26	Dinamo Tbilisi 2 - Guria Lanchkhuti	1:2

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