Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Norra Svealand - Round 24

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday


	Gute		Farsta

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	3.5
	1.8	3.75	3.75
	1.74	3.63	3.67
	1.74	3.8	3.84
	1.8	3.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.02)	3.74 ↓ (4)	3.7 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gute
51.3%

Draw
24.2%

Farsta
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

22.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

24.4%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gute has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gute's performance.

Farsta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Farsta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gute than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farsta than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Farsta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gute - Farsta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
36', 1 - 0, Hodin E. ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Ogestad O. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, Lindqvist I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 2 - 2, Ojhage I. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 and 8).

Gute is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Farsta is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Farsta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gute will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gute won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Gute
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
28.09.24	Österåker United - Gute	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Gute - Järfälla	0:1 ✺
15.09.24	Sandvikens AIK - Gute	4:2 ✺
07.09.24	Gute - Dalkurd	3:1 ✺
31.08.24	Falu - Gute	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLWT
- FOC Farsta
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
27.09.24	Farsta - Arlanda	0:4 ✺
20.09.24	Farsta - Kungsängen	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Österåker United - Farsta	1:4 ✺
06.09.24	Farsta - Järfälla	3:3 ✺
31.08.24	Sandvikens AIK - Farsta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
08.06.24	Farsta - Gute	3:1

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