Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP III - ROUND 13

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry		Lechia Zielona Góra

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	2.75
	2.17	3.47	2.8
	2.18	3.47	2.8
	2.17	3.52	2.8	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.3)	3.49 ↓ (3.5)	2.74 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry
41.3%

Draw
25.8%

Lechia Zielona Góra
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

26%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

26.6%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Lechia Zielona Góra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Lechia Zielona Góra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry won 0.

Recent matches Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zielona Góra is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TS Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry
Polish Division 3 - Group III
15.10.23	Raków Częstochowa II - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Pniówek Pawłowice	3:1 ✺
01.10.23	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	2:2 ✺
23.09.23	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Polkowice	0:1 ✺
16.09.23	Kluczbork - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWTLL
- Lechia Zielona Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
07.10.23	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:3 ✺
30.09.23	Lechia Zielona Góra - Odra Bytom Odrzański	2:2 ✺
23.09.23	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Lechia Zielona Góra	2:0 ✺
16.09.23	Lechia Zielona Góra - Starowice Dolne	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Unia Turza Śląska - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
12.04.23	Lechia Zielona Góra - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	2:2
13.08.22	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:1
20.04.22	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:2
28.08.21	Lechia Zielona Góra - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	1:1
20.03.21	Lechia Zielona Góra - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	1:1
02.09.20	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Lechia Zielona Góra	2:1
14.09.19	Lechia Zielona Góra - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	3:3

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