Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP III - ROUND 17

Date: 19 November 2022, Saturday


	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry		Stal Brzeg

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.5	3.7
	1.82	3.45	3.65
	1.79	3.45	3.7
	1.79	3.48	3.75
	1.78	3.6	3.84	Watch
	1.7	4	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.55)	3.58 ↓ (4.5)	3.72 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry
50.6%

Draw
25.1%

Stal Brzeg
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

20.2%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

19.3%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry's form might have worsened.

Stal Brzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Brzeg than the current prediction. (-4%)

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Stal Brzeg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry won 1.

Recent matches Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stal Brzeg is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TS Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry
Polish Division 3 - Group III
12.11.22	Ślęza Wrocław - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	1:1 ✺
05.11.22	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Raków Częstochowa II	0:0 ✺
29.10.22	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	5:1 ✺
22.10.22	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Chrobry Głogów 2	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Kluczbork - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTLTW
- Stal Brzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group III
12.11.22	Stal Brzeg - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1:4 ✺
05.11.22	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Stal Brzeg	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Stal Brzeg - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	3:1 ✺
22.10.22	Pniówek Pawłowice - Stal Brzeg	3:1 ✺
14.10.22	Stal Brzeg - Carina Gubin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
12.03.22	Stal Brzeg - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	2:2
14.08.21	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Stal Brzeg	2:1
17.04.21	Stal Brzeg - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	2:1
05.09.20	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Stal Brzeg	1:1
Club Friendly
11.07.20	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Stal Brzeg	0:0
Polish Division 3 - Group III
17.08.19	Stal Brzeg - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	3:2
20.04.19	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Stal Brzeg	1:1

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