Match Info

Date: 6 August 2022, Saturday


	Gwelup Croatia		Armadale

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	3.8	2.05
	3.8	3.65	1.7
	3	3.75	1.97
	2.98	4.09	2.1
	4	3.75	1.7
	3.13	4.05	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (4.04)	3.85 ↑ (3.55)	1.92 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gwelup Croatia
27.9%

Draw
24%

Armadale
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

25.5%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

24.6%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gwelup Croatia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gwelup Croatia's performance.

Armadale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwelup Croatia than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gwelup Croatia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Armadale than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Armadale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

Gwelup Croatia - Armadale Predictions

Users Predictions: Armadale will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gwelup Croatia won 2.

Gwelup Croatia has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Armadale is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Armadale could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Armadale is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Gwelup Croatia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Gwelup Croatia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gwelup Croatia SC
Australian NPL Western Australia
30.07.22	Stirling Macedonia - Gwelup Croatia	3:1 ✺
23.07.22	Balcatta - Gwelup Croatia	0:0 ✺
16.07.22	Gwelup Croatia - Floreat Athena	1:4 ✺
09.07.22	Inglewood United - Gwelup Croatia	3:2 ✺
02.07.22	Gwelup Croatia - Bayswater City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- Armadale SC
Australian NPL Western Australia
30.07.22	Armadale - Cockburn City	3:0 ✺
Australian Cup
21.07.22	Armadale - Modbury Jets	2:5 ✺
Australian NPL Western Australia
16.07.22	Perth RedStar - Armadale	5:1 ✺
09.07.22	Armadale - Perth Glory Youth	1:5 ✺
02.07.22	Balcatta - Armadale	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Western Australia
14.05.22	Armadale - Gwelup Croatia	2:1
04.09.21	Gwelup Croatia - Armadale	1:1
05.06.21	Armadale - Gwelup Croatia	4:3
03.10.20	Gwelup Croatia - Armadale	2:0
25.07.20	Armadale - Gwelup Croatia	2:3
Club Friendly
15.02.20	Armadale - Gwelup Croatia	0:2

Gwelup Croatia - Armadale: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide