Match Info

HUNGARY: Merkantil Bank Liga - Round 11

Date: 28 October 2024, Monday

Location: Alcufer Stadion (Gyor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport


	Gyirmót		Vasas

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	1.83
	3.6	3.55	1.85
	3.48	3.71	1.96
	3.68	3.73	1.9	Watch
	3.57	3.52	1.87	Watch
	3.6	3.55	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (3)	3.58 ↑ (3.44)	1.88 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gyirmót
25.6%

Draw
25.6%

Vasas
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

26.3%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

23.2%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gyirmót has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Vasas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vasas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gyirmót than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gyirmót, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasas than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vasas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Gyirmót - Vasas Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gyirmót will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Vasas will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gyirmót: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Harsfalvi A. (G) 67. Csorgo V. 22. Helembai M. 84. Horvath R. 38. Hudak D. 7. Katona M. 20. Kovacs D. 5. Lanyi B. 95. Madarasz M. 99. Pyshchur O. 17. Ugrai R.	1. Kiss A. (G) 94. Cseke B. 14. Doktorics A. 57. Iyinbor P. 21. Kapornai B. 5. Lehoczky R. 34. Otigba K. (C) 95. Pinter F. 70. Rado A. 18. Szantho R. 88. Urblik J.
Substitutes
11. Adamcsek M. 98. Cserkuti-Nemeth O. 30. Hudak M. 24. Kecskes B. (G) 15. Kiss N. 77. Miknyoczki A. 21. Molnar J. 27. Rozs R. 10. Szegi V.	50. Barkoczi B. 2. Bodnar J. 37. Bukta C. 19. Deutsch L. 68. Girsik A. 15. Hidi S. 55. Jova L. (G) 27. Mamusits P. 89. Molnar C. 92. Nemeth B. 20. Odor M. 23. Vida M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', Kapornai B. 🟨,
53', Pinter F. ↓, Bukta C. ↑,
53', Szantho R. ↓, Mamusits P. ↑,
63', Cseke B. 🟨,
64', 1 - 0, Horvath R. ⚽,
69', Pyshchur O. 🟨,
70', Cseke B. ↓, Hidi S. ↑,
70', Kapornai B. ↓, Nemeth B. ↑,
72', Ugrai R. ↓, Miknyoczki A. ↑,
72', Kovacs D. ↓, Hudak M. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Urblik J. (Pen),
79', Hudak D. ↓, Szegi V. ↑,
79', Madarasz M. ↓, Kiss N. ↑,
85', Horvath R. ↓, Adamcsek M. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Iyinbor P. ⚽,
89', Bukta C. 🟨,
90+3', Rado A. ↓, Vida M. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gyirmót
Hungarian NB II
20.10.24	Kisvárda - Gyirmót	6:4 ✺
06.10.24	Gyirmót - Budapest Honved	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Szeged 2011 - Gyirmót	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Gyirmót - Békéscsaba 1912	1:0 ✺
Hungarian Cup
15.09.24	BKV Előre - Gyirmót	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWTWW
- Vasas SC
Hungarian NB II
20.10.24	Vasas - BVSC-Zugló	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Csákvári - Vasas	2:1 ✺
30.09.24	Vasas - Mezőkövesd-Zsóry	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Soroksár - Vasas	3:2 ✺
Hungarian Cup
14.09.24	Vasas - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
17.03.24	Gyirmót - Vasas	1:2
Hungarian Cup
01.11.23	Vasas - Gyirmót	3:1
Hungarian NB II
24.09.23	Vasas - Gyirmót	2:0
Club Friendly
12.07.23	Vasas - Gyirmót	1:1
Hungarian NB II
14.03.21	Vasas - Gyirmót	1:1
27.09.20	Gyirmót - Vasas	2:0
27.10.19	Gyirmót - Vasas	2:1

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