Match Info

Ekstraliga Women - Round 9

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport


	Górnik Łęczna		Czarni Sosnowiec

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.58	3.45	2.32	Watch
	2.67	3.46	2.25
	2.97	3.58	2.12	Watch
	2.69	3.78	2.25	Watch
	2.25	3.65	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.25)	3.58 ↓ (3.65)	2.31 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Łęczna
34.8%

Draw
25.5%

Czarni Sosnowiec
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

24.8%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

23.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Górnik Łęczna's form might have worsened.

Czarni Sosnowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Górnik Łęczna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Czarni Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Czarni Sosnowiec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Górnik Łęczna - Czarni Sosnowiec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: ) and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 2.

Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.

Czarni Sosnowiec may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:24. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Łęczna won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Łęczna Women
Polish Ekstraliga Women
03.10.25	GKS Katowice - Górnik Łęczna	0:4 ✺
20.09.25	AZS UJ Kraków - Górnik Łęczna	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Górnik Łęczna - Stomilanki Olsztyn	4:0 ✺
31.08.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Górnik Łęczna	1:4 ✺
23.08.25	Górnik Łęczna - AP Gdańsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW
- Czarni Sosnowiec
Polish Ekstraliga Women
04.10.25	Czarni Sosnowiec - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Czarni Sosnowiec - Pogoń Tczew	7:0 ✺
22.09.25	GKS Katowice - Czarni Sosnowiec	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	AZS UJ Kraków - Czarni Sosnowiec	0:3 ✺
23.08.25	Czarni Sosnowiec - Stomilanki Olsztyn	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraliga Women
24.05.25	Czarni Sosnowiec - Górnik Łęczna	1:2
09.11.24	Górnik Łęczna - Czarni Sosnowiec	1:2
23.03.24	Czarni Sosnowiec - Górnik Łęczna	0:0
09.09.23	Górnik Łęczna - Czarni Sosnowiec	3:0
16.04.23	Górnik Łęczna - Czarni Sosnowiec	0:0
19.10.22	Czarni Sosnowiec - Górnik Łęczna	2:4
22.05.22	Górnik Łęczna - Czarni Sosnowiec	3:0

Górnik Łęczna - Czarni Sosnowiec: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide