Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 23

Date: 16 February 2024, Friday

Location: Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu (Izmir)

Referee: Hasova G. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Göztepe		Manisa FK

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	7	Watch
	1.42	4	6.25
	1.45	4.33	7	Watch
	1.45	4.09	6.4
	1.46	4.41	7.13
	1.36	4	7
	1.44	4.25	6.73
	1.43	4.1	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.66)	4.15 ↑ (3.7)	6.74 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Göztepe
64.2%

Draw
22.2%

Manisa FK
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

24.1%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

22.9%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Göztepe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Göztepe's performance.

Manisa FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manisa FK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Göztepe than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Göztepe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manisa FK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Göztepe - Manisa FK Predictions

Users Predictions: Göztepe will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lis M. (G) 77. Bayrak O. 50. Akdag U. 5. Heliton 24. Nielsen L. 12. Koybasi I. (C) 31. Dennis A. J. 30. Kayan Y. 11. Ildiz A. 79. Romulo 9. Kanatsizkus K.	15. Erenturk E. (G) 2. Tashkyn S. 90. Osmanoglu S. 54. Akgun E. 35. Koc A. 8. Gurbulak O. 36. Altiparmak B. 20. Dokanovic A. 98. Topalli J. 11. Frei K. 12. John Mary
Substitutes
17. Aksakal E. 81. Gemicibasi T. 32. Malak I. 23. Mamah K. 45. Messaoudi B. 33. Nukan A. 13. Ozcimen A. (G) 15. Serbest T. 88. Uzum F. 6. Yuksel C.	26. Altunbas B. 21. Diallo D. 33. Dogan F. 99. Emeksiz D. 50. Gocmen B. 17. Graovac D. 18. Kahya K. C. 60. Karadeniz B. 23. Karatas E. (G) 91. Sandro Lima
Coaches
Stoilov S.	Dalci M.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 12).

Göztepe is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Manisa is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Göztepe is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Manisa: Karapo A. (Knock)

There are questionable in Göztepe: Diouf M. (Injury) Palmer R. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Göztepe won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Göztepe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Göztepe
Turkish First League
11.02.24	Bandırmaspor - Göztepe	0:2 ✺
03.02.24	Göztepe - Altay	4:0 ✺
27.01.24	Çorum - Göztepe	1:1 ✺
22.01.24	Göztepe - Umraniyespor	4:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
18.01.24	Konyaspor - Göztepe	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWTWL
- Manisa FK
Turkish First League
11.02.24	Manisa FK - Giresunspor	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Tuzlaspor - Manisa FK	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Manisa FK - Erzurumspor	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Keçiörengücü - Manisa FK	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
18.01.24	Trabzonspor - Manisa FK	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
23.09.23	Manisa FK - Göztepe	0:1
07.05.23	Manisa FK - Göztepe	1:1
10.12.22	Göztepe - Manisa FK	1:0

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