Match Info

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu (Izmir)

Referee: Sansalan A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 4
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Montenegro	Sportklub 4
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1


	Göztepe		Sivasspor

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.61	3.8	5.25
	1.61	4	5.2
	1.62	3.99	5.82
	1.65	3.92	5.34	Watch
	1.57	4	5.5
	1.66	4.11	5.6	Watch
	1.58	3.75	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (2.57)	3.92 ↑ (3.56)	5.43 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Göztepe
58.5%

Draw
24.1%

Sivasspor
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26.4%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

26.5%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Göztepe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Göztepe's performance.

Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sivasspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Göztepe than the current prediction. (-22.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Göztepe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+19.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sivasspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Göztepe - Sivasspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Göztepe will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Göztepe: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Lis M. (G) 4. Altikardes T. 5. Heliton 66. Djalma Silva 30. Sangare N. 16. Dennis A. J. 94. Solet I. 12. Koybasi I. 43. Tijanic D. 79. Romulo 11. Juan Santos	35. Vural A. (G) 7. Paluli M. 26. Radakovic U. 27. Sonko Sundberg N. 3. Ciftci U. 77. Balde K. 12. Moutoussamy S. 8. Charisis C. 14. Camara S. 24. Rodrigues G. 55. Koita F.
Substitutes
77. Bayrak O. 21. Erdogan D. 99. Fofana D. D. 22. Gunter K. 8. Ildiz A. 18. Malak I. 7. Matsuki K. 24. Nielsen L. 1. Ozcimen A. (G) 6. Victor Hugo	53. Basyigit E. 15. Bieganski J. 46. Boke T. 58. Erdal Z. 11. Menig Q. 13. Nikolic D. (G) 10. Pritchard A. 88. Seker T. 90. Turgunboev A. 6. Yigiter O.
Coaches
Stoilov S.	Uygun B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Romulo ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Solet I. ⚽, Tijanic D. (A),
25', Koita F. ↓, Pritchard A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Paluli M. ↓, Boke T. ↑,
46', Balde K. ↓, Menig Q. ↑,
50', Sonko Sundberg N. 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, Ciftci U. ⚽,
57', 2 - 2, Menig Q. ⚽, Pritchard A. (A),
59', Tijanic D. ↓, Matsuki K. ↑,
61', Radakovic U. ↓, Turgunboev A. ↑,
73', Juan Santos ↓, Fofana D. D. ↑,
73', Koybasi I. ↓, Ildiz A. ↑,
74', Solet I. ↓, Nielsen L. ↑,
79', Dennis A. J. 🟨,
82', Moutoussamy S. ↓, Bieganski J. ↑,
88', Menig Q. 🟨,
90', Dennis A. J. ↓, Victor Hugo ↑,
90+3', Romulo 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 2, Fofana D. D. ⚽, Romulo (A),
90+6', Heliton 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 7 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Göztepe won 3.

Recent matches Göztepe is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sivasspor is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Göztepe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Göztepe is a favorite.

There will not play in Göztepe: Dennis A. J. (Yellow Cards) Kanatsizkus K. (Ankle Injury) Nielsen L. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Sivasspor: Albayrak M. (Knee Injury) Manaj R. (Muscle Injury) Okumus A. (Ankle Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Göztepe won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19:20 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Göztepe won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:13 (average 1.7:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Göztepe
Turkish Super League
28.09.24	Samsunspor - Göztepe	4:3 ✺
23.09.24	Göztepe - Kayserispor	3:0 ✺
31.08.24	Göztepe - Bodrumspor	2:0 ✺
23.08.24	Alanyaspor - Göztepe	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Göztepe - Fenerbahçe	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWWTT
- Sivasspor
Turkish Super League
27.09.24	Sivasspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Konyaspor - Sivasspor	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Sivasspor - Gaziantep	3:2 ✺
01.09.24	Beşiktaş - Sivasspor	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Sivasspor - Eyüpspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
19.01.22	Göztepe - Sivasspor	2:1
29.08.21	Sivasspor - Göztepe	2:2
20.03.21	Göztepe - Sivasspor	3:5
30.11.20	Sivasspor - Göztepe	0:1
25.07.20	Göztepe - Sivasspor	3:1
29.12.19	Sivasspor - Göztepe	1:0
11.05.19	Göztepe - Sivasspor	3:3

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