Match Info

Division 1 - Södra - Round 6

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Osteras IP (Hassleholm)


	Hässleholm		Ljungskile

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.4	3.4
	2	3.55	3.35
	1.96	3.64	3.56
	2.19	3.52	3.02	Watch
	2.04	3.48	3.28	Watch
	2	3.55	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.58)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	3.33 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hässleholm
46%

Draw
26.2%

Ljungskile
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

26.3%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

26.2%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hässleholm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hässleholm's performance.

Ljungskile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ljungskile might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hässleholm than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hässleholm that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ljungskile than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ljungskile could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hässleholm - Ljungskile Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bengtsson L. (G) 7. Andersson A. (C) 9. Bermudez T. 2. Branting A. 19. Freij F. 11. Johnson G. 4. Nedzibovic A. 10. Nilsson J. 8. Persson Ahstedt J. 18. Persson Ahstedt V. 12. Skagerholm L.	1. Eriksson L. (G) 10. Ambroz F. 11. Bjork A. 17. Helm A. 3. Johanstrommer Hedin G. 14. Lagerlof D. 9. Lindholm Corner L. 16. Ohlsson S. (C) 19. Rasheed A. 8. Tyren V. 5. Vennberg J.
Substitutes
16. Akesson Linderoth F. 5. Ali W. 3. Arvidsson E. 15. Ekstrom T. 14. Karimi E. 31. Larsson A. (G) 17. Ljungqvist M.	12. Hogblom S. 18. Larsson A. 7. Liljedahl J. 37. Liljedahl W. (G) 23. Uzel M. 22. Zackrisson A. 6. Zetterlund J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
21', 1 - 1, Tyren V. ⚽,
31', 1 - 2, Johanstrommer Hedin G. ⚽,
41', Persson Ahstedt V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Johnson G. ↓, Karimi E. ↑,
46', Bjork A. ↓, Uzel M. ↑,
50', Skagerholm L. ↓, Ljungqvist M. ↑,
52', 1 - 3, Helm A. ⚽,
60', Freij F. ↓, Arvidsson E. ↑,
70', Rasheed A. ↓, Larsson A. ↑,
71', Persson Ahstedt J. 🟨,
72', Persson Ahstedt J. ↓, Ali W. ↑,
72', Andersson A. ↓, Ekstrom T. ↑,
77', Helm A. ↓, Liljedahl J. ↑,
84', Lindholm Corner L. ↓, Zetterlund J. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 4, Tyren V. ⚽,
90+4', Ohlsson S. 🟨,
90+6', Ljungqvist M. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Superettan (Promotion: )).

Hässleholm is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ljungskile is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hässleholm is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hässleholms IF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
26.04.25	Husqvarna - Hässleholm	2:2 ✺
18.04.25	Hässleholm - Trollhättan	0:2 ✺
11.04.25	AFC Malmö - Hässleholm	3:0 ✺
04.04.25	Hässleholm - Rosengård 1917	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Ängelholm - Hässleholm	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLLW
- Ljungskile SK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
26.04.25	Ljungskile - Trollhättan	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Ljungskile - Husqvarna	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Skövde AIK - Ljungskile	1:4 ✺
05.04.25	Ljungskile - Norrby	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Eskilsminne - Ljungskile	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WWWLW

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