Match Info

Division 2 - Södra Götaland - Round 23

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday


	Högaborgs		Nosaby

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.65	3.1
	2.12	3.54	2.85
	25.00	14.76	1.01	Watch
	2.17	3.51	2.99
	1.69	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.6 ↑ (1.75)	5.84 ↑ (3.8)	2.79 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Högaborgs
22.2%

Draw
25.1%

Nosaby
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

23.7%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

24.9%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Högaborgs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Högaborgs's form might have worsened.

Nosaby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nosaby's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Högaborgs than the current prediction. (+31.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Högaborgs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nosaby than the current prediction. (-28.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nosaby, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Högaborgs - Nosaby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
52', 1 - 1, ⚽,
57', 1 - 2, ⚽,
77', 1 - 3, ⚽,
84', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10 and 12 in the zone Division 2 ~ Su00f6dra Gu00f6taland (Relegation))

Recent form of Högaborgs has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nosaby has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Högaborgs is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Högaborgs won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Högaborgs won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Högaborgs BK
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
20.09.25	Karlshamn - Högaborgs	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Högaborgs - Växjö Norra	2:3 ✺
07.09.25	Karlskrona - Högaborgs	3:1 ✺
03.09.25	Högaborgs - Sölvesborg	2:3 ✺
29.08.25	Högaborgs - IFK Hässleholm	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLLW
- Nosaby IF
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
19.09.25	Nosaby - IFK Hässleholm	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Räppe GoIF - Nosaby	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Nosaby - Torn	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Kristianstad - Nosaby	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Nosaby - Sölvesborg	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
06.06.25	Nosaby - Högaborgs	0:4
05.10.24	Högaborgs - Nosaby	3:0
23.06.24	Nosaby - Högaborgs	2:1

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