Match Info

Toppserien Women - Round 9

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday

Location: Hønefoss Stadion (Hønefoss)

Referee: Holthe M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay


	Hønefoss		Stabæk

	1	X	2
	4.55	3.9	1.62
	4.47	3.97	1.62
	4.5	3.96	1.63	Watch
	4.4	3.6	1.62
	4.63	3.84	1.6
	3.6	3.45	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↑ (3.6)	3.79 ↑ (3.45)	1.66 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hønefoss
20.9%

Draw
24.1%

Stabæk
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

26.4%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

26.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hønefoss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Stabæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stabæk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hønefoss than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stabæk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hønefoss - Stabæk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ervik S. (G) 15. Rovelstad M. 4. Masdal S. 28. Obstfelder Svang H. 33. Lang F. 19. Anderdal A. 14. Dunsby M. 7. Ruud E. 10. Stalesen O. 8. Bjerksaeter S. 21. Nyhagen S. (C)	22. Skoglund S. (G) 21. Pallesen-Nygard S. 5. Bjorneboe S. 4. Flo M. 2. Bolviken E. (C) 7. Berg-Solemdal M. 6. Halvorsen C. 8. Noss N. 23. Gumaer K. 11. Natvik I. 18. Malmin A.
Substitutes
3. Amundsen E. 31. Braathen E. (G) 11. Hamborg S. K. 17. Haug C. 24. Hellumsand M. 18. Hermansen T. R. 5. Jorgensen A. 20. Larsen C. 22. Roed E.	20. Castberg A. 3. de Lange H. 28. Grindhaug A. 76. Laupstad J. 9. Ron G. 13. Ronning E. (G) 24. Thorleifsson R. 16. Vistnes K.
Coaches
Natvik R.	Torjussen L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Flo M. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Berg-Solemdal M. ⚽,
23', Anderdal A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Dunsby M. ↓, Larsen C. ↑,
46', Bjerksaeter S. ↓, Jorgensen A. ↑,
46', Natvik I. ↓, Ron G. ↑,
59', 0 - 2, Ron G. ⚽,
70', Stalesen O. ↓, Hamborg S. K. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Larsen C. ⚽,
76', Obstfelder Svang H. ↓, Hellumsand M. ↑,
82', Halvorsen C. ↓, Grindhaug A. ↑,
82', Pallesen-Nygard S. ↓, de Lange H. ↑,
90+2', Gumaer K. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 Women and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hønefoss won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Hønefoss has had a series of away games.

In this match, Stabæk is seen as the favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Hønefoss won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 5:23. (average 0.6:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Hønefoss won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Stabaek W	18	8	3	7	36:20	16	27
9	Honefoss W	18	4	4	10	16:30	-14	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hønefoss BK Women
Norwegian Toppserien Women
26.05.26	LSK Kvinner - Hønefoss	3:2 ✺
Norwegian Cup Women
19.05.26	LSK Kvinner - Hønefoss	2:3 ET ✺
Norwegian Toppserien Women
15.05.26	Fortuna Ålesund - Hønefoss	2:0 ✺
Norwegian Cup Women
12.05.26	Sarpsborg 08 - Hønefoss	0:2 ✺
Norwegian Toppserien Women
08.05.26	Hønefoss - Vålerenga	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLWL
- Stabæk Fotball Kvinner
Norwegian Toppserien Women
26.05.26	Stabæk - Haugesund	3:0 ✺
Norwegian Cup Women
20.05.26	Røa - Stabæk	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Toppserien Women
15.05.26	Stabæk - Rosenborg	1:2 ✺
08.05.26	Brann - Stabæk	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Bodø Glimt - Stabæk	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Women
14.03.26	Stabæk - Hønefoss	2:1
Norwegian Toppserien Women
20.09.25	Hønefoss - Stabæk	0:2
23.08.25	Stabæk - Hønefoss	1:0
23.03.25	Hønefoss - Stabæk	0:1
Club Friendly Women
31.01.25	Stabæk - Hønefoss	4:2
Norwegian Cup Women
26.06.24	Stabæk - Hønefoss	2:1
Club Friendly Women
27.01.23	Stabæk - Hønefoss	4:1

Hønefoss - Stabæk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide