Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA MITTELRHEIN - ROUND 11

Date: 20 October 2023, Friday


	Hürth		Porz

	1	X	2
	2.15	4	2.6
	2.16	3.76	2.66
	2.16	3.76	2.66
	2.17	3.75	2.67
	2.15	4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.38)	3.85 ↓ (4.2)	2.64 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hürth
42.1%

Draw
23.5%

Porz
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

21.4%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

20.9%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hürth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Porz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Porz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hürth than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porz than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Porz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hürth - Porz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Hürth has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Porz is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Porz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hürth have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Hürth
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
15.10.23	Hürth - Bonn-Endenich	0:2 ✺
30.09.23	Hürth - Blau-Weiß Königsdorf	2:2 ✺
24.09.23	Eintracht Hohkeppel - Hürth	4:0 ✺
17.09.23	Hürth - Hennef 05	1:5 ✺
03.09.23	Hürth - Borussia Freialdenhoven	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- SpVg Porz
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
15.10.23	Porz - Germania Teveren	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Blau-Weiß Königsdorf - Porz	4:1 ✺
01.10.23	Porz - Eintracht Hohkeppel	3:2 ✺
22.09.23	Hennef 05 - Porz	4:1 ✺
17.09.23	Porz - Bonner	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLWLL

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