Match Info

A-Liga Women - Round 11

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport


	HB Køge		Brøndby

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.70	3.75
	1.70	3.75	3.85
	1.83	3.82	3.55
	1.7	4.14	3.82	Watch
	1.80	3.75	3.50
	1.81	4.02	3.60
	1.77	3.80	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.64)	3.85 ↓ (4.17)	3.67 ↓ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HB Køge
51.7%

Draw
23.6%

Brøndby
24.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.1%

22.1%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

22.9%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HB Køge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Brøndby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HB Køge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brøndby than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

HB Køge - Brøndby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
66. Kozal L. (G) 28. Boye S. 7. Carusa K. 32. Flick E. 23. Jensen M. 33. Jereko M. 6. Oyama A. 3. Schultz M. 12. Thygesen S. 2. Uhre M. 88. Witek Z.	32. Tompkins J. (G) 37. Bischoff M. 18. Brenn M. 19. Engesvik R. 3. Kovacs M. 10. Lindwall T. 15. Nejmann E. 23. Pedersen E. 26. Pelkowski E. 8. Rasmussen M. 6. Rodgers A.
Substitutes
1. Andersen A. 24. Hermann L. M. 22. Oskarsdottir E. 13. Paulson C. 4. Sakabe Y. 27. Termansen A. 8. Wendicke M.	40. Andersen I. (G) 16. Andersson H. 11. Buchberg C. 14. Halldorsdottir H. 12. Karlsen K. 4. Madsen J. 25. Thygesen E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Pelkowski E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Oyama A. ↓, Oskarsdottir E. ↑,
49', Pelkowski E. 🟨,
60', Rasmussen M. ↓, Andersson H. ↑,
60', Pedersen E. ↓, Madsen J. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Schultz M. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Engesvik R. ↓, Buchberg C. ↑,
74', Lindwall T. ↓, Halldorsdottir H. ↑,
74', Witek Z. ↓, Hermann L. M. ↑,
84', Thygesen S. ↓, Paulson C. ↑,
87', Pelkowski E. ↓, Karlsen K. ↑,
89', Hermann L. M. 🟨,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 1st in the Promotion - A - Liga Women (Championship Group: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - A - Liga Women (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Køge won 2.

Køge has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Brøndby is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this matchup, Køge is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Køge has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:21 (averaging 1.2:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Køge against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 9:9 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Koge W	11	8	2	1	31:12	19	26
3	Brondby W	11	6	3	2	26:9	17	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HB Køge Women
Danish A-Liga Women
04.10.26	Nordsjælland - HB Køge	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
01.10.26	HB Køge - Servette	5:1 ✺
Danish A-Liga Women
26.09.26	HB Køge - Kolding	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
22.09.26	Arsenal LFC - HB Køge	1:0 ✺
Danish A-Liga Women
19.09.26	HB Køge - Midtjylland	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWWLW
- Brøndby Women
Danish A-Liga Women
03.10.26	Copenhagen - Brøndby	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Cup Women
30.09.26	Sporting Lisbon - Brøndby	2:2 ✺
Danish A-Liga Women
26.09.26	Brøndby - ASA Aarhus	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Cup Women
23.09.26	Brøndby - Sporting Lisbon	4:1 ✺
Danish A-Liga Women
19.09.26	Brøndby - Fortuna Hjørring	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish A-Liga Women
19.08.26	Brøndby - HB Køge	1:2
09.05.26	HB Køge - Brøndby	0:1
Danish Cup Women
02.04.26	Brøndby - HB Køge	1:4
25.03.26	HB Køge - Brøndby	1:1
Danish A-Liga Women
21.03.26	Brøndby - HB Køge	0:0
08.11.25	Brøndby - HB Køge	1:1
23.08.25	HB Køge - Brøndby	3:2

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