Match Info

Kakkonen Group B

Date: 30 May 2025, Friday

Location: Briotech Arena (Helsinki)


	HPS		PPJ

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.6	2.15
	2.45	3.85	2.39
	2.92	3.75	2.12
	2.48	3.89	2.34	Watch
	2.45	3.7	2.3
	2.46	4	2.31
	2.45	3.85	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (1.84)	3.81 ↓ (4.33)	2.29 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HPS
35.9%

Draw
24.1%

PPJ
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

21.3%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

20.3%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HPS's form might have worsened.

PPJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PPJ's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPS than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HPS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PPJ than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PPJ, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

HPS - PPJ Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - HPS (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. HPS (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Saarto P. (G) 9. Apajalahti E. 30. Barraza A. 16. Eskola J. 15. Gaffar E. 6. Granath A. (C) 31. Jaaskelainen R. 26. Kilic B. 28. Oris J. 79. Sihvola A. 7. Simonov I.	31. Lindqvist A. (G) 18. Haajanen A. 23. Hakola J. 33. Hanninen J. 36. Hockert J. 16. Kahelin R. 5. Kilpelainen A. 27. Maatta V. 15. Ouazine R. 10. Sjolund S. (C) 44. Turkulainen R.
Substitutes
39. Abshir G. 18. Camara I. 41. Elamo P. 27. Gronberg S. 46. Lamberg E. 3. Risto S. 25. Tamminen J. (G) 8. Vaisanen O.	25. Arminen N. (G) 22. Essoh J. 14. Everi V. 20. Heikkinen O. 77. Kauppila V. 7. Puttonen P. 2. Salmela E. 43. Salonen O. 6. Smidtslund R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Kilic B. ↓, Lamberg E. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hakola J. ↓, Heikkinen O. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Apajalahti E. ⚽,
61', Maatta V. ↓, Puttonen P. ↑,
64', Apajalahti E. ↓, Gronberg S. ↑,
64', Gaffar E. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
76', Hanninen J. ↓, Salonen O. ↑,
77', Salonen O. 🟨,
81', Kahelin R. 🟨,
86', Sihvola A. ↓, Abshir G. ↑,
87', Heikkinen O. 🟨,
90', Barraza A. 🟨,
90+1', Hockert J. ↓, Kauppila V. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 in the zone Kakkonen Group B (Losers stage: ) and 7 in the zone Kakkonen Group B (Losers stage: ))

In recent matches, HPS has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

PPJ's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helsingin Palloseura
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
23.05.25	Kiffen 08 - HPS	3:1 ✺
17.05.25	P-Iirot Rauma - HPS	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	HPS - Ilves 2	3:1 ✺
03.05.25	Atlantis 2 - HPS	3:2 ✺
26.04.25	HPS - MuSa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.5 LWWLL
- Pallo-Pojat Juniorit Helsinki
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
23.05.25	PPJ - Ilves 2	2:4 ✺
16.05.25	MuSa - PPJ	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	PPJ - NJS	3:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
06.05.25	EsPa - PPJ	1:0 ✺
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
03.05.25	HJS - PPJ	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLT

HPS - PPJ: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide