Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Derde Divisie - Round 27

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday


	HSC 21		HBC Heemstede

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.75	6.25
	1.33	4.75	7.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.46)	4.75 ↑ (4.33)	6.81 ↑ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HSC 21
67.6%

Draw
19.1%

HBC Heemstede
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

21%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

20.3%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HSC 21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HSC 21's performance.

HBC Heemstede has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HSC 21 than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HBC Heemstede than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

HSC 21 - HBC Heemstede Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Vonk J. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 2 - 0, Iallouchen M. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Derde Divisie (Relegation) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches HSC 21 is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

HBC has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

HBC could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently HBC have a series of home games.

In this match HSC 21 is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HSC 21
Dutch Derde Divisie
16.03.25	Rohda Raalte - HSC 21	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	HSC 21 - Huizen	4:1 ✺
23.02.25	USV Hercules - HSC 21	2:3 ✺
15.02.25	HSC 21 - IJsselmeervogels	2:2 ✺
02.02.25	HSC 21 - TEC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LWWTL
- HBC Heemstede
Dutch Derde Divisie
15.03.25	HBC Heemstede - Harkemase Boys	1:3 ✺
08.03.25	Excelsior 31 - HBC Heemstede	4:2 ✺
22.02.25	HBC Heemstede - Genemuiden	1:3 ✺
08.02.25	HBC Heemstede - Sparta Nijkerk	1:3 ✺
25.01.25	HBC Heemstede - DVS33 Ermelo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

HSC 21 - HBC Heemstede: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide