Match Info

Tweede Divisie - Round 4

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Sportpark Denoek (Hoek)


	HSV Hoek		Jong Sparta Rotterdam

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.61	4	4
	1.58	4.35	4.05
	1.6	4.57	4.12
	1.65	4.42	4.09	Watch
	1.6	4.2	4.25	Watch
	1.6	4	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.6)	4.26 ↑ (4)	4.08 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HSV Hoek
56.4%

Draw
21.3%

Jong Sparta Rotterdam
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

22.2%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

20.3%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HSV Hoek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Jong Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSV Hoek than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

HSV Hoek - Jong Sparta Rotterdam Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Murre F. (G) 2. de Poorter R. 21. Martens G. 25. den Engelsman W. 5. de Nooijer Y. 4. Lion J. 14. Van Hauter R. 10. Aelterman N. 18. Bouihrouchane H. 17. Sula D. 20. Schalkwijk S. (C)	1. Suur R. (G) 2. Esser J. 3. de Ligt M. 4. Borrie T. 5. Bynoe J. 8. Santos A. 6. Oetoehganal L. (C) 10. Oukhattou M. 7. Seedorf J. 9. Hoeve Q. 11. Gorisson E.
Substitutes
11. Delannoy G. 7. Hebbelinck K. 8. Lijbers T. 19. Ngongo J. 30. Standaert M. (G) 16. Steenpoorte M. 6. Vandecandelaere G.	14. Bogerd J. 18. el Meftahi Y. 20. Geneugelijk I. (G) 16. Guit V. 19. Hanzen D. 17. Razak K. 12. Sandvliet N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Santos A. ↓, Guit V. ↑,
56', Esser J. ↓, Sandvliet N. ↑,
59', Sula D. ↓, Hebbelinck K. ↑,
59', Bouihrouchane H. ↓, Lijbers T. ↑,
74', Lion J. ↓, Vandecandelaere G. ↑,
74', Aelterman N. ↓, Ngongo J. ↑,
79', Bynoe J. ↓, Bogerd J. ↑,
83', Schalkwijk S. ↓, Delannoy G. ↑,
87', Oetoehganal L. 🟨,
90+1', Guit V. 🟨,

Preview

Hoek is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Jong Sparta is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hoek may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Jong Sparta has had a series of home games.

In this match, Hoek is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Hoek will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HSV Hoek
Dutch KNVB Beker
03.09.25	HSV Hoek - Rijnvogels	6:4 ✺
Dutch Tweede Divisie
30.08.25	Spakenburg - HSV Hoek	1:3 ✺
23.08.25	HSV Hoek - Koninklijke HFC	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Katwijk - HSV Hoek	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Merelbeke - HSV Hoek	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.1 WWWWW
- Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Tweede Divisie
30.08.25	Jong Sparta Rotterdam - ACV	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Jong Sparta Rotterdam - Spakenburg	4:4 ✺
16.08.25	Koninklijke HFC - Jong Sparta Rotterdam	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.25	Jong Sparta Rotterdam - Telstar	5:0 ✺
24.07.25	Jong Sparta Rotterdam - USV Hercules	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.5 WTLWW

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