Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 23

Date: 28 February 2024, Wednesday


	Hajer		Al-Orobah

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.05
	3.25	3.2	2.1
	3.06	3.1	2.16
	3.3	3.18	2.2
	3.2	3.2	2
	3.26	3.1	2.14	Watch
	3.25	3.15	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (4.16)	3.15 ↓ (3.34)	2.11 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hajer
28.2%

Draw
28.8%

Al-Orobah
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

27.3%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

26.7%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hajer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hajer's performance.

Al-Orobah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Orobah might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hajer than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hajer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Orobah than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Orobah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hajer - Al Orobah Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hajer won 2.

Hajer is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al-Orobah is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Al-Orobah could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Al-Orobah is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Hajer won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Hajer won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hajer Club
Saudi Division 1
20.02.24	Jeddah - Hajer	0:3 ✺
17.02.24	Ohud Medina - Hajer	2:1 ✺
12.02.24	Hajer - Al-Jabalain	0:3 ✺
06.02.24	Al-Safa - Hajer	2:0 ✺
01.02.24	Hajer - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLLL
- Al-Orobah FC
Saudi Division 1
21.02.24	Al-Batin - Al-Orobah	0:1 ✺
13.02.24	Al-Orobah - Ohud Medina	2:1 ✺
05.02.24	Al-Ain - Al-Orobah	0:3 ✺
29.01.24	Al-Orobah - Al-Adalh	0:0 ✺
23.01.24	Al-Taraji - Al-Orobah	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
21.09.23	Al-Orobah - Hajer	3:1
08.05.23	Al-Orobah - Hajer	0:1
28.12.22	Hajer - Al-Orobah	2:2
30.03.22	Hajer - Al-Orobah	0:0
17.11.21	Al-Orobah - Hajer	1:2
19.02.19	Al-Orobah - Hajer	0:1
02.10.18	Hajer - Al-Orobah	1:1

Hajer - Al-Orobah: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide