Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 6 - Round 23

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday


	HamKam 2		Mjølner

	1	X	2
	2.25	4.73	2.23
	2.23	4.77	2.33
	2.19	4.2	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.59)	4.57 ↑ (4.36)	2.33 ↓ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HamKam 2
40.9%

Draw
19.9%

Mjølner
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

20.7%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

17.3%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HamKam 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HamKam 2's form might have worsened.

Mjølner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mjølner's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HamKam 2 than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HamKam 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjølner than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mjølner, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

HamKam 2 - Mjølner Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Utkilen L. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
69', 2 - 0, Voldhagen K. ⚽,
70', 3 - 0, Naustdal E. ⚽,
74', 4 - 0, Soras T. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 10).

Recent matches HamKam 2 is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mjølner is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mjølner could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match HamKam 2 is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HamKam 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
22.09.24	Skjervøy - HamKam 2	4:2 ✺
14.09.24	HamKam 2 - Fløya	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Ulfstind - HamKam 2	1:4 ✺
01.09.24	Fyllingsdalen - HamKam 2	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	HamKam 2 - Sprint-Jeloy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWLL
- Mjølner
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
20.09.24	Mjølner - Fyllingsdalen	0:3 ✺
15.09.24	Hønefoss - Mjølner	5:0 ✺
07.09.24	Mjølner - Sprint-Jeloy	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Fredrikstad 2 - Mjølner	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Mjølner - Elverum	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWLL

HamKam 2 - Mjølner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide