Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 9

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland


	Hamburger II		St. Pauli II

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.75	2.62
	2.4	3.7	2.55
	2.36	3.76	2.51
	2.35	3.65	2.5
	2.32	3.52	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.39)	3.68 ↑ (3.52)	2.53 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger II
39.2%

Draw
24.8%

St. Pauli II
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

25.9%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

26.3%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

The chances for St. Pauli II have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger II than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli II than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Hamburger II - St. Pauli II Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - St. Pauli II (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Pauli II (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Aydin K. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Sabah H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 3, Wardius J. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Regionalliga North (Relegation) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg II won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

St. Pauli II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hamburg II won 11 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 43:22. (average 2.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg II won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:11. (average 2.8:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	St. Pauli II	11	3	1	7	20:21	-1	10
16	Hamburger SV II	11	3	1	7	15:25	-10	10

Last Results with these Odds

St. Pauli II - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.01%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger II
German Regionalliga North
11.09.26	SC Weiche-08 - Hamburger II	4:0 ✺
05.09.26	Jeddeloh - Hamburger II	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Hamburger II - Eintracht Norderstedt	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Lübeck - Hamburger II	1:3 ✺
16.08.26	Hamburger II - Drochtersen Assel	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWLWL
- St. Pauli II
German Regionalliga North
13.09.26	St. Pauli II - Eintracht Norderstedt	5:0 ✺
30.08.26	St. Pauli II - Phönix Lübeck	2:2 ✺
26.08.26	Schöningen - St. Pauli II	3:2 ✺
16.08.26	St. Pauli II - Werder Bremen II	2:1 ✺
12.08.26	Jeddeloh - St. Pauli II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
10.05.26	St. Pauli II - Hamburger II	1:1
13.12.25	Hamburger II - St. Pauli II	4:1
12.04.25	Hamburger II - St. Pauli II	4:2
06.10.24	St. Pauli II - Hamburger II	1:4
31.03.24	Hamburger II - St. Pauli II	2:0
30.09.23	St. Pauli II - Hamburger II	0:1
21.04.23	St. Pauli II - Hamburger II	2:4

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