Match Info

Bundesliga Women - Round 22

Date: 30 March 2026, Monday

Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sport 1
Hong-kong	Now Player, NOW Sports 5
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
World	Onefootball


	Hamburger SV		Bayer 04 Leverkusen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.5	4.35	1.42
	5.87	4.72	1.45
	5.9	4.72	1.45	Watch
	5	4	1.44
	6.03	4.3	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.66 ↓ (5.69)	4.42 ↓ (4.54)	1.45 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger SV
16.2%

Draw
20.7%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

20.5%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

19.4%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer 04 Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Hamburger SV - Bayer 04 Leverkusen Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Bayer (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayer (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Paulick L. (G) 2. Doucoure M. 8. Stoldt S. 19. Schulz V. 26. Wrede J. M. 28. Machtens P. (C) 37. Bartz P. 17. Buchele M. 47. Linberg C. 32. Wrede L. 11. Brunnthaler M.	12. Borggrafe R. (G) 10. Gonzalez E. 5. Wenger C. 2. Ostermeier S. 37. Wamser C. 19. Bender L. 16. Zdebel S. (C) 6. Piljic K. 22. Grant R. 21. Fudalla V. 7. Kramer C.
Substitutes
29. Eggert L. 20. Hirche E. 9. Kruger M. 16. Meyer C. 27. Mikolajova M. 4. Mirzaliyeva N. 1. Schuldt I. (G) 44. Sliskovic G. 15. Wucher A.	42. Coskun S. 30. Daedelow I. 13. Haim V. 11. Kogel K. 17. Madl V. 18. Mickenhagen J. 34. Moll A. (G) 24. Turanyi L. 56. Vidal J.
Coaches
Brancao C.	Patzold R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Fudalla V. ⚽, Piljic K. (A),
18', Schulz V. ↓, Mirzaliyeva N. ↑,
41', 1 - 1, Linberg C. ⚽, Wrede L. (A),
44', Bender L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Buchele M. ↓, Wucher A. ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Piljic K. ⚽, Bender L. (A),
63', Piljic K. 🟨,
63', Gonzalez E. ↓, Mickenhagen J. ↑,
63', Wrede L. ↓, Kruger M. ↑,
63', Grant R. ↓, Kogel K. ↑,
64', Bartz P. ↓, Mikolajova M. ↑,
64', Wamser C. 🟨,
70', Wucher A. 🟨,
77', 1 - 3, Mickenhagen J. ⚽, Piljic K. (A),
79', Wrede J. M. ↓, Eggert L. ↑,
83', Bender L. ↓, Haim V. ↑,
83', Piljic K. ↓, Vidal J. ↑,
90+1', Fudalla V. ↓, Madl V. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 6).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Bayer is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Bayer Leverkusen W	6	4	0	2	12:9	3	12
12	Hamburger SV W	6	1	2	3	9:8	1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger SV Women
German Bundesliga Women
21.03.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Hamburger SV	4:1 ✺
15.03.26	Carl Zeiss Jena - Hamburger SV	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal Women
11.03.26	Hamburger SV - Bayern Munich	0:3 ✺
German Bundesliga Women
21.02.26	Hamburger SV - Werder Bremen	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	TSG Hoffenheim - Hamburger SV	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.2 LTLTW
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen Women
German Bundesliga Women
22.03.26	Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Carl Zeiss Jena	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Wolfsburg - Bayer 04 Leverkusen	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Bayer 04 Leverkusen - TSG Hoffenheim	0:1 ✺
13.02.26	Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Köln	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer 04 Leverkusen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal Women
16.11.25	Hamburger SV - Bayer 04 Leverkusen	2:1 penalties
German Bundesliga Women
05.11.25	Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Hamburger SV	2:1
German DFB Pokal Women
25.11.23	Hamburger SV - Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0:4

Hamburger SV - Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide