Match Info

Ligue 2 - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Hammam-Lif		Stade Gabèsien

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.71	2.6	Watch
	3.09	2.83	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.85)	2.77 ↓ (2.8)	2.54 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hammam-Lif
30.5%

Draw
33.2%

Stade Gabèsien
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

32.5%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

32.7%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hammam-Lif has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Stade Gabèsien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hammam-Lif than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Gabèsien than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Hammam Lif - Stade Gabèsien Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Nouisser B. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Ben Tiba M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 3 - 0, Ben Tiba M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hammam-Lif won 0.

Hammam-Lif is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Stade Gabèsien's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Stade Gabèsien may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Hammam-Lif won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Hammam-Lif won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 0.6:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hammam-Lif
Tunisian Ligue 2
25.05.26	Hammam-Lif - Kasserine	1:0 ✺
11.05.26	Hammam-Lif - Hammam-Sousse	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Océano Club de Kerkennah - Hammam-Lif	0:0 ✺
27.04.26	Hammam-Lif - Menzel Bourguiba	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Tataouine - Hammam-Lif	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTTWW
- Stade Gabèsien
Tunisian Ligue 2
25.05.26	Stade Gabèsien - Tataouine	2:0 ✺
Tunisian Cup
20.05.26	Sfaxien - Stade Gabèsien	2:1 ET ✺
Tunisian Ligue 2
12.05.26	Djelma - Stade Gabèsien	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Stade Gabèsien - Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer	0:0 ✺
28.04.26	Kasserine - Stade Gabèsien	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Cup
11.01.26	Stade Gabèsien - Hammam-Lif	2:0
Tunisian Ligue 2
06.05.23	Hammam-Lif - Stade Gabèsien	0:0
21.12.22	Stade Gabèsien - Hammam-Lif	1:1
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
30.05.19	Stade Gabèsien - Hammam-Lif	1:1
Tunisian Cup
30.01.19	Hammam-Lif - Stade Gabèsien	0:2
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
12.12.18	Hammam-Lif - Stade Gabèsien	1:0
13.05.17	Stade Gabèsien - Hammam-Lif	2:0

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