Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 6

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bou Ali Lahouar Stadium (Sousse) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Tunisia	14:30	Diwan Sport


	Hammam-Sousse		Ben Guerdane

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.58	3.20
	2.54	2.66	3.31
	2.67	2.71	2.91	Watch
	2.45	2.60	3.25
	2.45	2.92	3.13
	2.41	2.65	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.67)	2.69 ↓ (2.83)	3.18 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hammam-Sousse
36.9%

Draw
34.2%

Ben Guerdane
28.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.4%

32.5%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

33.3%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hammam-Sousse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Ben Guerdane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammam-Sousse than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Guerdane than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Hammam Sousse - Ben Guerdane Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hazgui M. (G) 17. Abdallah R. 3. Abderrazzak G. 20. Baayou M. 33. Ben Zitoun T. 2. El Beji N. 6. Figo 29. Helal M. A. 11. Jarraya M. A. 4. Ouni R. 13. Sassi M.	31. Hammami L. (G) 42. Agbanou P. 17. Amri A. 10. Ayadi G. 40. Ben Mcharek A. 20. Bouabcha J. 8. Camara M. 33. Chachia N. 25. Harrabi S. 7. M'Ghezzi Bakhouche A. 30. Oboh D.
Substitutes
14. Aissaoui R. 22. Ben Salah M. 34. Houli I. 8. Hssine A. 24. Martin O. 15. Moataz A. 32. Nasreli C. (G) 10. Ouji F. 25. Tenguiano O.	19. Bouatay A. 9. Diakite A. 16. Karkouba M. (G) 6. Mounguide G. 27. Salhi W. 21. Tayechi F. 12. Timoumi F. 15. Touis I. 14. Yeken M. H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Ayadi G. (Penalty Awarded),
30', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
75', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 16th in the Relegation - Ligue 2 and 3rd in the Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

Hammam-Sousse is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Ben Guerdane shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Hammam-Sousse has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hammam-Sousse against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ben Guerdane	7	5	2	0	12:6	6	17
16	Hamam-Sousse	7	0	1	6	2:12	-10	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hammam-Sousse
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
11.10.26	Zarzis - Hammam-Sousse	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Hammam-Sousse - Stade Tunisien	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Métlaoui - Hammam-Sousse	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Club Africain - Hammam-Sousse	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Hammam-Sousse - Monastir	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT
- US Ben Guerdane
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
10.10.26	Ben Guerdane - Club Africain	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Ben Guerdane - Hammam-Lif	1:0 ✺
16.09.26	Ben Guerdane - Sfaxien	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Monastir - Ben Guerdane	3:3 ✺
30.08.26	Olympique Béja - Ben Guerdane	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
10.04.22	Hammam-Sousse - Ben Guerdane	1:1
18.11.21	Ben Guerdane - Hammam-Sousse	2:1

Hammam-Sousse - Ben Guerdane