Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 25

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Hammam-Sousse		Sfax Railways

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.55	6.3
	1.49	3.58	6.26
	1.51	3.6	6.5	Watch
	1.57	3.25	5.75
	1.59	3.52	5.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.56)	3.5 ↑ (3.45)	6.15 ↑ (5.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hammam-Sousse
59.4%

Draw
25.9%

Sfax Railways
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

26.2%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

24.8%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hammam-Sousse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Sfax Railways has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hammam-Sousse than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sfax Railways than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Hammam Sousse - Sfax Railways Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
71', 0 - 1, Lazzez H. ⚽,
82', 0 - 2, Jaouachi Y. ⚽,
84', Masmoudi M. H. 🟥,
89', Ben Hassine M. 🟥,
90+1', 1 - 2, Abdallah R. B. ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 2, Tritar M. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion Group: ) and 4).

Hammam-Sousse is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sfax Railways's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sfax Railways may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sfax Railways has had a series of away games.

In this match, Hammam-Sousse is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hammam-Sousse won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hammam-Sousse
Tunisian Ligue 2
27.04.26	Océano Club de Kerkennah - Hammam-Sousse	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Msaken - Hammam-Sousse	0:0 ✺
13.04.26	Hammam-Sousse - Menzel Bourguiba	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Bousalem - Hammam-Sousse	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Hammam-Sousse - Tataouine	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLLW
- Sfax Railways Sports
Tunisian Ligue 2
27.04.26	Msaken - Sfax Railways	1:3 ✺
13.04.26	Bouhajla - Sfax Railways	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Sfax Railways - Sporting Ben Arous	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	El Makarem de Mahdia - Sfax Railways	0:0 ✺
Tunisian Cup
22.03.26	Jendouba Sport - Sfax Railways	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
06.12.25	Sfax Railways - Hammam-Sousse	3:1

Hammam-Sousse - Sfax Railways: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide