Match Info

Division 2 - Södra Svealand - Round 8

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Torvalla idrottsplats (Haninge)


	Haninge		Karlslund

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.95	5.9
	1.47	4.69	5.2	Watch
	1.41	4.85	5.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.34)	4.83 ↓ (5.3)	5.49 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haninge
64.4%

Draw
19%

Karlslund
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

17.3%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

16.3%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haninge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Karlslund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haninge than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haninge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlslund than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Haninge - Karlslund Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haninge won 2.

Haninge is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Karlslund has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Haninge is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Haninge won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Haninge won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Haninge	24	13	4	7	58:45	13	43
9	Karlslund	24	8	7	9	37:38	-1	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Haninge
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
09.05.26	Haninge - Fittja	5:2 ✺
02.05.26	Syrianska - Haninge	3:4 ✺
26.04.26	Lindö - Haninge	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Haninge - Rågsved	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Nyköping - Haninge	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWTL
- Karlslunds IF HFK
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
09.05.26	Karlslund - Lindö	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Rågsved - Karlslund	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	Smedby - Karlslund	4:1 ✺
18.04.26	Karlslund - Nyköping	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Örebro Syrianska - Karlslund	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
05.08.23	Haninge - Karlslund	4:1
02.04.23	Karlslund - Haninge	3:1
Swedish Division 1 Norra
29.11.20	Haninge - Karlslund	3:1
05.07.20	Karlslund - Haninge	3:0
Swedish Division 1 Relegation
18.11.18	Karlslund - Haninge	1:0
14.11.18	Haninge - Karlslund	2:2

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