Match Info

National League - Round 16

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday


	Hanthawaddy United		ISPE

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.7	3.9	3.8	Watch
	1.71	4.35	3.75
	1.73	4.42	3.48	Watch
	1.67	3.8	3.7
	1.66	4.2	3.86	Watch
	1.76	4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.87)	4.11 ↑ (3.99)	3.67 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hanthawaddy United
53.2%

Draw
22.1%

ISPE
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

22.8%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

22.6%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hanthawaddy United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ISPE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hanthawaddy United than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ISPE than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Hanthawaddy United - ISPE Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Kaung M. N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+8', 1 - 1, Thet A. M. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 and 6)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hanthawaddy United won 2.

Hanthawaddy United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

ISPE is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Hanthawaddy United has had a series of away games.

Hanthawaddy United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Hanthawaddy United won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hanthawaddy United won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Hantharwady Utd	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
11	Ispe FC	2	0	0	2	3:6	-3	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hanthawaddy United
Myanmar National League
30.01.26	Dagon Port - Hanthawaddy United	1:4 ✺
24.01.26	Hanthawaddy United - Ayeyawady United	1:3 ✺
16.01.26	Dagon - Hanthawaddy United	3:0 ✺
11.01.26	Thitsar Arman - Hanthawaddy United	1:2 ✺
07.01.26	Yadanarbon - Hanthawaddy United	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLWW
- ISPE FC
Myanmar National League
30.01.26	ISPE - Yangon United	0:5 ✺
23.01.26	Mahar United - ISPE	4:1 ✺
17.01.26	ISPE - Yadanarbon	2:2 ✺
13.01.26	Ayeyawady United - ISPE	0:1 ✺
06.01.26	Shan United - ISPE	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Myanmar National League
27.09.25	ISPE - Hanthawaddy United	2:2
Myanmar MNL League Cup
17.05.25	ISPE - Hanthawaddy United	0:3
Myanmar National League
16.02.25	ISPE - Hanthawaddy United	0:0
25.08.24	Hanthawaddy United - ISPE	3:1
16.12.23	ISPE - Hanthawaddy United	3:0
03.07.23	Hanthawaddy United - ISPE	1:2
05.10.22	Hanthawaddy United - ISPE	3:1

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