Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 4

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday


	Hanworth Villa		Evesham United

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.50	3.50
	1.50	3.95	4.90
	1.86	3.71	3.49
	1.9	3.76	3.6	Watch
	1.84	3.65	3.45
	1.79	3.58	3.79
	1.84	3.55	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.5)	3.67 ↓ (3.95)	3.76 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hanworth Villa
50.9%

Draw
24.9%

Evesham United
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

22.8%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

22.3%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hanworth Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hanworth Villa's form might have worsened.

Evesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Evesham United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hanworth Villa than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hanworth Villa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Evesham United than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Evesham United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hanworth Villa - Evesham United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Harding M. (Penalty Awarded),
23', 1 - 1, Liggett B. (Penalty Awarded),
40', 2 - 1, Bolton E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', 3 - 1, Harding M. ⚽,
79', 4 - 1, Barzey B. ⚽,

Preview

Hanworth is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Evesham has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Evesham has had a series of home games.

In this match, Hanworth is a strong favorite.

We predict that Hanworth will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Evesham: 0.96%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Hanworth	9	6	1	2	17:8	9	19
10	Evesham	9	4	1	4	14:17	-3	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hanworth Villa
English Southern League South Division
15.08.26	Bath City - Hanworth Villa	1:0 ✺
12.08.26	Gosport Borough - Hanworth Villa	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Ashford Town - Hanworth Villa	1:4 ✺
25.07.26	Hanworth Villa - Welwyn Garden City	5:2 ✺
21.07.26	Hanworth Villa - Kingstonian	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWW
- Evesham United
English Southern League South Division
15.08.26	Evesham United - Chichester City	3:0 ✺
11.08.26	Evesham United - Frome Town	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Evesham United - Bishops Cleeve	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Evesham United - Cheltenham Town	0:3 ✺
14.07.26	Evesham United - Worcester City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLTLW

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