Match Info

Date: 16 November 2020, Monday


	Hapoel Afula		Hapoel Jerusalem

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.2	1.8
	4.25	3.1	1.8
	4.3	2.95	1.82
	4.4	2.95	1.84
	4.84	3.04	1.88
	4.3	3.28	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↑ (3.09)	3.09 ↑ (3)	1.83 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Afula
20.8%

Draw
29.5%

Hapoel Jerusalem
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

30%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

22.9%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Afula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Afula's form might have worsened.

Hapoel Jerusalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hapoel Jerusalem's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Afula than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Jerusalem than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	21.4%	71.4%

Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Jerusalem Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Hapoel Afula will win (votes: 2 - 7.1%). Hapoel Jerusalem will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hapoel Jerusalem: 54.7% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group) and 8 in the zone Promotion to Leumit League (Promotion Group)).

Hapoel Afula has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Hapoel Jerusalem is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hapoel Jerusalem could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hapoel Jerusalem is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Hapoel Afula won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Afula won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Afula FC
Israeli Liga Leumit
13.11.20	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Hapoel Afula	1:0 ✺
06.11.20	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	0:1 ✺
02.11.20	Hapoel Acre - Hapoel Afula	2:0 ✺
24.09.20	Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla - Hapoel Afula	2:1 ✺
17.09.20	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- Hapoel Jerusalem
Israeli Liga Leumit
13.11.20	Hapoel Jerusalem - Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla	1:0 ✺
09.11.20	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Jerusalem	1:0 ✺
03.11.20	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Ra`anana	0:3 ✺
24.09.20	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Jerusalem	0:0 ✺
17.09.20	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Petah Tikva	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
19.05.17	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Afula	1:1
31.03.17	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Jerusalem	1:1
Israeli State Cup
06.01.17	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Afula	3:2
Israeli Liga Leumit
16.12.16	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Afula	4:1
20.05.16	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Afula	1:4
29.01.16	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Afula	1:2
16.10.15	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Jerusalem	4:0

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