Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 6

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday


	Hapoel Azor		Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.05	2.4
	2.66	3.11	2.38
	2.33	2.99	3.03	Watch
	2.7	3.22	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.33)	3.09 ↑ (2.99)	2.54 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Azor
34.9%

Draw
29.4%

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

30.6%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

30.8%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Azor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maccabi Ironi Ashdod's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Azor than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Ironi Ashdod than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maccabi Ironi Ashdod, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hapoel Azor - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', Carmeli T. 🟥,
45', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Azor won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Hapoel Azor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Azor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Azor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Azor
Israeli Liga Alef South
10.10.25	Hapoel Herzliya - Hapoel Azor	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Hapoel Azor - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Beitar Yavne - Hapoel Azor	0:0 ✺
11.09.25	Hapoel Azor - Hapoel Marmorek	1:0 ✺
05.09.25	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Azor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWTWT
- Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Israeli Liga Alef South
10.10.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Jerusalem FC	3:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
30.09.25	Beitar Haifa - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	0:5 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
27.09.25	Tzeirei Tira - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Ironi Ramat HaSharon	0:1 ✺
12.09.25	Kfar Saba 1928 - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
22.04.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Hapoel Azor	1:1
20.12.24	Hapoel Azor - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:0
11.03.22	Hapoel Azor - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:2
25.11.21	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Hapoel Azor	1:0
18.01.20	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Hapoel Azor	1:1
13.09.19	Hapoel Azor - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	0:1

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