Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 23

Date: 7 February 2025, Friday

Location: Lod Municipal Stadium (Lod)


	Hapoel Bnei Lod		Ironi Modiin

	1	X	2
	8.25	4.6	1.3
	8.8	4.6	1.3
	8.76	4.45	1.3
	8.94	4.48	1.33
	9.5	4.7	1.28
	8.8	4.6	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.84 ↑ (6.17)	4.57 ↑ (4.4)	1.3 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Bnei Lod
10.3%

Draw
19.9%

Ironi Modiin
69.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

20.6%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3%

20%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Bnei Lod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Ironi Modiin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ironi Modiin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Bnei Lod than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ironi Modiin than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Hapoel Bnei Lod - Ironi Modiin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
31', 0 - 1, Cohen B. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Machluf Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 0 - 3, Ben Avi H. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League).

Hapoel Bnei Lod is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ironi Modiin is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hapoel Bnei Lod could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hapoel Bnei Lod have a series of guest games.

In this match Ironi Modiin is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hapoel Bnei Lod won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:9 (average 0.3:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Bnei Lod won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Bnei Lod
Israeli Liga Alef South
30.01.25	Maccabi Yavne - Hapoel Bnei Lod	3:1 ✺
24.01.25	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Hapoel Herzliya	0:3 ✺
17.01.25	Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Bnei Lod	3:0 ✺
03.01.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Hapoel Bnei Lod	0:0 ✺
26.12.24	Maccabi Shaarayim - Hapoel Bnei Lod	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLTW
- Ironi Modiin
Israeli Liga Alef South
31.01.25	Ironi Modiin - Nordia Jerusalem	3:0 ✺
25.01.25	Tzeirei Tira - Ironi Modiin	0:0 ✺
17.01.25	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Marmorek	1:0 ✺
10.01.25	Dimona - Ironi Modiin	1:0 ✺
03.01.25	Ironi Modiin - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
09.10.24	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Bnei Lod	4:0
05.04.24	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Bnei Lod	4:1
12.01.24	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Ironi Modiin	0:1

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