Match Info

Ligat ha'Al - Round 12

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Teddy Stadium (Jerusalem)

Referee: Frid I. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	Sport 4


	Hapoel Jerusalem		Maccabi Bnei Raina

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.02	3.25	3.4
	2.08	3.29	3.76
	2.31	3.36	2.93	Watch
	2.04	3.36	3.51	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.33)	3.27 ↑ (3.17)	3.4 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Jerusalem
44.5%

Draw
28.3%

Maccabi Bnei Raina
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

29.2%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

28.3%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Jerusalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Maccabi Bnei Raina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Jerusalem than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Bnei Raina than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Hapoel Jerusalem - Maccabi Bnei Raina Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Hapoel Jerusalem will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Maccabi Bnei Raina will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hapoel Jerusalem: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Jerusalem (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Hapoel Jerusalem (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Jerusalem (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Zamir N. (G) 16. Agvadish O. 3. Malmud N. 66. Domgjoni D. 20. Nadir O. 6. Eshata A. (C) 8. Madmon I. 24. Badash G. 7. Hozez M. 11. Don C. F. 25. Idoko A.	31. Gliklich L. (G) 66. Stevanovic M. 91. Shedo N. 40. Pius J. 25. Khalaili I. 12. Banda E. 6. Ghnayem E. (C) 30. Pejic A. 11. Owusu 10. Fadida S. 9. Ze Turbo
Substitutes
77. Almagor O. 33. Dappa I. 17. Distalfeld Y. 21. Farada A. 28. Gordin Anbary B. (G) 4. Laish Y. 15. Oli I. 30. Ransom I. 26. Shalom H.	1. Amos G. (G) 3. Brami M. 8. Elmkies I. 77. Goren I. 44. Jabarin M. 14. Jaber A. 17. Kanani A. 23. Mater A. 16. Shaker M.
Coaches
Arie Z.	Hadia A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Khalaili I. ⚽,
12', Badash G. 🟨,
30', Shedo N. 🟨,
44', Madmon I. ↓, Ransom I. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Stevanovic M. 🟨,
61', Idoko A. ↓, Almagor O. ↑,
64', Malmud N. 🟨,
68', Shedo N. ↓, Jaber A. ↑,
68', Fadida S. ↓, Elmkies I. ↑,
70', Elmkies I. 🟨,
76', Gliklich L. 🟨,
79', Agvadish O. ↓, Farada A. ↑,
79', Eshata A. ↓, Oli I. ↑,
79', Malmud N. ↓, Dappa I. ↑,
83', Owusu ↓, Kanani A. ↑,
83', Banda E. ↓, Goren I. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Hozez M. ⚽, Almagor O. (A),
90+4', Ghnayem E. ↓, Shaker M. ↑,
90+8', 1 - 2, Jaber A. ⚽, Shaker M. (A),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Jerusalem won 2.

Recent performances by Hapoel Jerusalem have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Maccabi Bnei Raina is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Hapoel Jerusalem is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There are questionable in Hapoel Jerusalem: Haimovich T. (Injury) Jardel (Inactive)

There are questionable in Maccabi Bnei Raina: Hutba I. (Inactive) Sefer A. (Injury) Shaker M. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Jerusalem won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Jerusalem won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Hapoel Jerusalem - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.73%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Jerusalem
Israeli Ligat haAl
29.11.25	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Jerusalem	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Tel Aviv	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Maccabi Haifa - Hapoel Jerusalem	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Jerusalem	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WTTTT
- Maccabi Bnei Raina
Israeli Ligat haAl
29.11.25	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Ironi Tiberias	1:3 ✺
08.11.25	Maccabi Netanya - Maccabi Bnei Raina	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Maccabi Tel Aviv	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Bnei Raina	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Hapoel Haifa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Ligat haAl
19.04.25	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Hapoel Jerusalem	2:1
06.01.25	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Hapoel Jerusalem	0:0
21.09.24	Hapoel Jerusalem - Maccabi Bnei Raina	0:1
Israeli Toto Cup
17.08.24	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Hapoel Jerusalem	0:1 penalties
Israeli Ligat haAl
02.03.24	Hapoel Jerusalem - Maccabi Bnei Raina	1:0
23.12.23	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Hapoel Jerusalem	1:1
11.03.23	Hapoel Jerusalem - Maccabi Bnei Raina	0:1

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