Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef North - Round 26

Date: 9 April 2024, Tuesday


	Hapoel Kaukab		MS Tira

	1	X	2
	10.5	6	1.19
				Watch
	11.56	7.97	1.06
	11.56	7.97	1.06
	23	10.7	1.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	14.16 ↑ (5.1)	8.16 ↑ (3.4)	1.09 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Kaukab
6.3%

Draw
11%

MS Tira
82.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

26.7%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5%

26.2%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Kaukab has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Kaukab's form might have worsened.

MS Tira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting MS Tira's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Kaukab than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Kaukab, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MS Tira than the current prediction. (-26.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for MS Tira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 0 - 1, ⚽,
68', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hapoel Kaukab won 2.

Recent matches Hapoel Kaukab is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tira in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Tira is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Hapoel Kaukab won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Kaukab won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Kaukab
Israeli Liga Alef North
05.04.24	Hapoel Ra`anana - Hapoel Kaukab	6:0 ✺
29.03.24	Hapoel Kaukab - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	1:0 ✺
22.03.24	Hapoel Bueine - Hapoel Kaukab	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Hapoel Kaukab - Tzeirey Tayibe	1:1 ✺
12.03.24	Tzeirei Kafr Kanna - Hapoel Kaukab	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 LWTTW
- MS Tira
Israeli Liga Alef North
04.04.24	MS Tira - Ironi Nesher	3:0 ✺
29.03.24	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - MS Tira	0:4 ✺
21.03.24	MS Tira - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	2:1 ✺
15.03.24	Hapoel Kafr Kanna - MS Tira	0:3 ✺
12.03.24	MS Tira - Hapoel Bnei Zalafa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
19.01.24	MS Tira - Hapoel Kaukab	4:0
11.02.23	MS Tira - Hapoel Kaukab	1:0
07.10.22	Hapoel Kaukab - MS Tira	1:0
21.01.22	Hapoel Kaukab - MS Tira	1:2
24.09.21	MS Tira - Hapoel Kaukab	3:4
20.04.21	MS Tira - Hapoel Kaukab	1:1
10.01.20	MS Tira - Hapoel Kaukab	1:1

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