Match Info

Leumit League - Round 28

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 SPORT Israel


	Hapoel Kfar Saba		Kafr Qasim

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.25	3.2
	2.05	3.33	3.46
	2.06	3.43	3.42	Watch
	2.01	3.22	3.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.21)	3.31 ↑ (3.3)	3.37 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Kfar Saba
45.1%

Draw
27.7%

Kafr Qasim
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

28.2%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

26.8%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Kfar Saba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Kafr Qasim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Kfar Saba than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kafr Qasim than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Hapoel Kfar Saba - Kafr Qasim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Shibli H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Kfar Saba won 3.

Hapoel Kfar Saba is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kafr Qasim is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hapoel Kfar Saba could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Kfar Saba won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Kfar Saba won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	MS Kafr Qasim	8	4	1	3	12:8	4	13
15	Hapoel Kfar Saba	8	2	0	6	9:20	-11	6

Last Results with these Odds

Hapoel Kfar Saba - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.17%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Kafr Qasim - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.59%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Kfar Saba
Israeli Liga Leumit
03.04.26	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:1 ✺
30.03.26	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Kfar Saba	1:0 ✺
24.03.26	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	2:3 ✺
20.02.26	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Maccabi Herzliya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- MS Kafr Qasim
Israeli Liga Leumit
03.04.26	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0:3 ✺
30.03.26	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Kafr Qasim	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Kafr Qasim - Maccabi Herzliya	0:2 ✺
23.02.26	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Kafr Qasim	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli State Cup
15.01.26	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Kfar Saba	1:0
Israeli Liga Leumit
28.11.25	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:2
17.03.25	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Kafr Qasim	1:0
11.11.24	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:1
24.05.24	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Kafr Qasim	0:0
26.02.24	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:3
17.11.23	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Kafr Qasim	0:0

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