Match Info

Leumit League - Round 8

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Hapoel Kiryat Yam		Hapoel Kfar Saba

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.90	3.70
	1.65	3.75	3.9
	1.72	3.97	3.94
	1.74	4.03	3.98	Watch
	1.67	3.85	3.85
	1.72	4.65	3.99
	1.67	3.8	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.58)	3.99 ↓ (4.21)	3.89 ↓ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hapoel Kiryat Yam
53.8%

Draw
22.8%

Hapoel Kfar Saba
23.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.7%

22%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

21.2%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Kiryat Yam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Hapoel Kfar Saba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Kiryat Yam than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Kiryat Yam, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Kfar Saba than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Kfar Saba Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Hapoel Kiryat Yam will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Hapoel Kfar Saba will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Meir R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 🟥,
90+1', 2 - 0, Silla S. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 6th in the Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group: ) and 13th in the Leumit League (Relegation Group: )).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Hapoel Kfar Saba may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Hapoel Kiryat Yam is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Hapoel Kiryat Yam has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:1 (averaging 2:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hapoel Kiryat Yam against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 2:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Kiryat Yam	11	6	1	4	28:21	7	19
10	Hapoel Kfar Saba	11	4	0	7	17:24	-7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Kiryat Yam
Israeli Liga Leumit
24.09.26	Maccabi Herzliya - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	1:3 ✺
17.09.26	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Ironi Modiin	3:2 ✺
10.09.26	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	4:2 ✺
06.09.26	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Acre	5:0 ✺
30.08.26	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWL
- Hapoel Kfar Saba
Israeli Liga Leumit
28.09.26	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Bnei Yehuda	1:2 ✺
17.09.26	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Kfar Saba	4:2 ✺
10.09.26	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Hapoel Ra`anana - Hapoel Kfar Saba	6:1 ✺
30.08.26	Maccabi Herzliya - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
11.05.26	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:0
06.02.26	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:1
05.10.25	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	0:2

Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Kfar Saba