Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda		Jerusalem FC

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.75	1.58
	4.09	3.75	1.63
	4.35	3.93	1.64	Watch
	4.15	3.65	1.56
	4.5	3.88	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↑ (3.66)	3.79 ↑ (3.77)	1.6 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
20.7%

Draw
23.5%

Jerusalem FC
55.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25%

24.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

23.3%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Jerusalem FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerusalem FC than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda - Jerusalem FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Eli Yaakov S. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Ilan A. ⚽,
38', 3 - 0, Osher O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 3 - 1, ⚽,
58', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 6th).

Recent results have been tough for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Jerusalem have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Jerusalem for this game.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Jerusalem FC	8	3	2	3	11:14	-3	11
15	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	8	1	3	4	8:15	-7	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Israeli Liga Alef South
08.10.26	Hapoel Herzliya - Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	0:0 ✺
30.09.26	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda - Dimona	2:3 ✺
23.09.26	Hapoel Azor - Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda - Hapoel Sderot	0:1 ✺
09.09.26	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLLT
- Jerusalem FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
09.10.26	Jerusalem FC - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	0:1 ✺
30.09.26	Tzeirei Tira - Jerusalem FC	0:2 ✺
24.09.26	Jerusalem FC - Maccabi Yavne	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Nordia Jerusalem - Jerusalem FC	1:3 ✺
09.09.26	Jerusalem FC - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWTWT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Israeli Liga Alef South
30.10.26	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda - Hapoel Hadera	✺

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda - Jerusalem FC