Match Info

Date: 8 October 2021, Friday


	Hapoel Marmorek		Maccabi Jaffa

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.6
	2.45	2.9	2.6
	2.35	3.2	2.5
	2.66	3.14	2.61
	2.6	3.14	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.38)	3.12 ↓ (3.2)	2.58 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Marmorek
36.2%

Draw
28.9%

Maccabi Jaffa
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

27.8%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

20.5%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Marmorek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Maccabi Jaffa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Marmorek than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Marmorek that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Jaffa than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maccabi Jaffa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Hapoel Marmorek could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Maccabi Jaffa have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hapoel Marmorek won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Marmorek won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Marmorek
Israeli Liga Alef South
01.10.21	Hapoel Azor - Hapoel Marmorek	0:5 ✺
24.09.21	Hapoel Marmorek - Maccabi Herzliya	2:0 ✺
19.09.21	Maccabi Yavne - Hapoel Marmorek	1:1 ✺
10.09.21	Hapoel Marmorek - Ironi Kuseife	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.08.21	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Azor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTLW
- Maccabi Jaffa
Israeli State Cup
04.10.21	Maccabi Jaffa - Jerusalem FC	3:2 ET ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
01.10.21	Maccabi Jaffa - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	1:2 ✺
24.09.21	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Bikat Hayarden	1:0 ✺
17.09.21	Hapoel Azor - Maccabi Jaffa	0:1 ✺
10.09.21	Maccabi Jaffa - Maccabi Herzliya	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
12.03.21	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Marmorek	1:1
04.12.20	Hapoel Marmorek - Maccabi Jaffa	1:2
03.01.20	Hapoel Marmorek - Maccabi Jaffa	2:0

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