Match Info

Leumit League - Promotion Group - Round 35

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 PLUS Israel


	Hapoel Rishon LeZion		Hapoel Tel Aviv

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.5	4.4	1.42
	3.55	3.45	1.88
	3.59	3.4	1.97
	3.42	3.36	2.11
	4.08	3.25	1.94	Watch
	3.55	3.45	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↓ (6.25)	3.55 ↓ (3.7)	1.87 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Rishon LeZion
23.7%

Draw
26.3%

Hapoel Tel Aviv
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

24.5%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

24%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Rishon LeZion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Rishon LeZion's performance.

Hapoel Tel Aviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Tel Aviv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Rishon LeZion than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Rishon LeZion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Tel Aviv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Tel Aviv Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Rishon LeZion will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Hapoel Tel Aviv will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Sahar B. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Semel M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 1 - 2, Lemkin A. ⚽,

Preview

Hapoel Tel Aviv is Qualified for Ligat ha'Al

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rishon LeZion won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Hapoel Tel Aviv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hapoel Tel Aviv has had a series of home games.

In this match, Hapoel Tel Aviv is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rishon LeZion won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rishon LeZion won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Israeli Liga Leumit
25.04.25	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Maccabi Herzliya	1:3 ✺
15.04.25	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	2:4 ✺
04.04.25	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	2:0 ✺
28.03.25	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLWLW
- Hapoel Tel Aviv
Israeli Liga Leumit
28.04.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Ramat Gan	1:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
22.04.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:5 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
17.04.25	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Tel Aviv	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Petah Tikva	0:0 ✺
07.04.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Bnei Yehuda	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
23.12.24	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	3:0
26.08.24	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Tel Aviv	2:1
30.04.18	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	0:0
29.12.17	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	0:1
21.08.17	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Tel Aviv	0:3
Israeli State Cup
15.01.15	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Tel Aviv	1:2

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