Match Info

ISRAEL: Leumit League - Round 25

Date: 24 February 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 STARS Israel


	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm		Maccabi Herzliya

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.65	3.3	1.9
	3.75	3.34	1.98
	3.76	3.43	1.97	Watch
	3.74	3.54	1.93	Watch
	3.65	3.3	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↓ (3.76)	3.38 ↓ (3.38)	1.94 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
24.9%

Draw
27.3%

Maccabi Herzliya
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

27.2%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

26.1%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Maccabi Herzliya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Herzliya than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Hapoel Umm al Fahm - Maccabi Herzliya Predictions

Users Predictions: Maccabi Herzliya will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Dasa O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 2 - 0, Amer D. ⚽,
72', 🟥,
90+8', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group: )).

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm is Leumit League (Relegation Group )

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Maccabi Herzliya is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Maccabi Herzliya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Maccabi Herzliya is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Hapoel Umm al-Fahm won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Umm al-Fahm won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Israeli Liga Leumit
17.02.25	Hapoel Acre - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:0 ✺
07.02.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Kafr Qasim	0:2 ✺
04.02.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	4:0 ✺
31.01.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Ramat Gan	1:0 ✺
24.01.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 LLLWL
- Maccabi Herzliya
Israeli Liga Leumit
14.02.25	Maccabi Herzliya - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	2:1 ✺
07.02.25	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Maccabi Herzliya	0:1 ✺
04.02.25	Maccabi Herzliya - Hapoel Ra`anana	1:0 ✺
31.01.25	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Maccabi Herzliya	2:2 ✺
24.01.25	Maccabi Herzliya - Hapoel Petah Tikva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
25.10.24	Maccabi Herzliya - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:2
07.05.24	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Maccabi Herzliya	1:2
05.01.24	Maccabi Herzliya - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:2
28.08.23	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Maccabi Herzliya	2:0

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