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Current Win Probability
Harima Albion 30.8%
Draw 26.6%
Nippatsu Yokohama Seagulls 42.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.2%
28%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.4%
28.8%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harima Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harima Albion's form might have worsened.
Nippatsu Yokohama Seagulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nippatsu Yokohama Seagulls's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harima Albion than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harima Albion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nippatsu Yokohama Seagulls than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nippatsu Yokohama Seagulls, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 10th and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harima Albion won 2.
Harima Albion is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Yokohama Seagulls shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Harima Albion has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:12 (averaging 1.4:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Harima Albion against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:5 goals (averaging 1.8:1 per game).
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