Match Info

Meistriliiga Women - Round 22

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Harju JK Laagri		Viimsi JK

	1	X	2
	5.50	4.75	1.38
	5.70	4.80	1.36
	5.43	4.93	1.38
	5.4	5	1.4	Watch
	5.35	4.85	1.36
	5.44	4.93	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.47 ↓ (6.18)	4.88 ↑ (4.85)	1.39 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harju JK Laagri
16.5%

Draw
18.5%

Viimsi JK
65%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.6%

18.6%

66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

16.6%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harju JK Laagri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Viimsi JK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viimsi JK than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viimsi JK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Harju JK Laagri - Viimsi JK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', 1 - 1, ⚽,
68', 1 - 2, ⚽,
81', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.

Viimsi JK could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Viimsi JK has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this match, Viimsi JK enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Harju has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:8 (averaging 1.7:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Harju against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:5 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Viimsi JK W	23	11	4	8	51:40	11	37
5	Harju JK Laagri W	23	4	3	16	33:69	-36	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harju JK Laagri Women
Estonian Meistriliiga Women
03.10.26	Flora Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri	6:0 ✺
26.09.26	Viimsi JK - Harju JK Laagri	3:1 ✺
20.09.26	Harju JK Laagri - Flora Tallinn	0:5 ✺
12.09.26	Elva - Harju JK Laagri	0:6 ✺
05.09.26	Harju JK Laagri - Paide	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL
- Viimsi JK Women
Estonian Meistriliiga Women
26.09.26	Viimsi JK - Harju JK Laagri	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Viimsi JK - Saku Sporting	0:4 ✺
06.09.26	Viimsi JK - Flora Tallinn	1:3 ✺
29.08.26	Paide - Viimsi JK	2:1 ✺
20.08.26	Viimsi JK - Harju JK Laagri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga Women
26.09.26	Viimsi JK - Harju JK Laagri	3:1
20.08.26	Viimsi JK - Harju JK Laagri	0:2
16.05.26	Harju JK Laagri - Viimsi JK	2:5

Harju JK Laagri - Viimsi JK