Match Info

1. Lig - Round 6

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Location: Mersin Stadyumu (Mersin)

Referee: Dursun Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tabii Spor 1, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Hatayspor		Boluspor

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.7	2.5	Watch
	2.53	3.49	2.43
	2.57	3.71	2.56
	1.60	4.20	4.74	Watch
	2.47	3.73	2.52
	2.71	3.75	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.75)	3.76 ↑ (3.52)	2.85 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hatayspor
40.4%

Draw
25.7%

Boluspor
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

26.2%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

25.6%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hatayspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hatayspor's performance.

Boluspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boluspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hatayspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boluspor than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boluspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Hatayspor - Boluspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Hatayspor will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Boluspor will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Boluspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - Boluspor (8.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Boluspor (4.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Boluspor (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bekaj V. (G) 15. Yilmaz B. 3. Kilama G. (C) 13. Aksoy E. 17. Alici K. 61. Parmak A. 5. Saglam G. 8. Massanga Matondo 7. Bamgboye F. 18. Durmushan U. 14. Rui Pedro	1. Ozdemir O. (G) 5. Senyurt D. 24. Arslan K. 28. Kouagba L. 3. Lima L. 8. Lico D. 66. Isik A. 80. Balburdia M. 17. Davas D. 61. Akanbi R. 10. Hasani F.
Substitutes
9. Aksoy D. 33. Aydemir E. 95. Buz Y. A. 2. Corekci K. 78. Daduk E. (G) 4. Demir C. 31. Matur O. 6. Sarka B. 16. Temel S. 20. Yildiz A.	34. Alpsoy H. 45. Boakye M. 23. Can A. 20. Cayli M. A. 91. Dirdiroglu T. (G) 14. Kirim A. 22. Kulbilge B. (G) 41. Oztonga O. 77. Uresin A. 9. Usluoglu A.
Coaches
Almeida H.	Er M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Bamgboye F. ⚽,
24', Kilama G. ↓, Demir C. ↑,
33', 2 - 0, Rui Pedro ⚽,
40', Lico D. 🟨,
43', Parmak A. 🟨,
43', Hasani F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Akanbi R. ↓, Boakye M. ↑,
46', Isik A. ↓, Oztonga O. ↑,
51', Saglam G. 🟨,
54', Yilmaz B. 🟨,
60', 2 - 1, Hasani F. (Pen),
61', Durmushan U. ↓, Aksoy D. ↑,
62', Saglam G. ↓, Temel S. ↑,
68', Bekaj V. 🟨,
74', Rui Pedro ↓, Corekci K. ↑,
78', Davas D. ↓, Usluoglu A. ↑,
87', Lima L. ↓, Cayli M. A. ↑,
90+5', Aksoy E. 🟨,
90+5', Massanga Matondo 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 2, Hasani F. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Hatayspor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Boluspor is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hatayspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Hatayspor: Strandberg C. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Hatayspor: Corekci K. (Injury) Hodzic A. (Muscle Injury) Saglam G. (Muscle Injury) Yildiz A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Boluspor: Alici B. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hatayspor won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Hatayspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Boluspor - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.16%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hatayspor
Turkish Cup
16.09.25	Hatayspor - Erciyes 38	2:3 ✺
Turkish First League
12.09.25	Erokspor - Hatayspor	4:1 ✺
30.08.25	Hatayspor - İstanbulspor	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Umraniyespor - Hatayspor	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Manisa FK - Hatayspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTTL
- Boluspor
Turkish First League
13.09.25	Boluspor - Manisa FK	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Sakaryaspor - Boluspor	1:4 ✺
24.08.25	Boluspor - Keçiörengücü	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Sarıyer - Boluspor	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Boluspor - Vanspor	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
01.07.20	Boluspor - Hatayspor	1:0
07.12.19	Hatayspor - Boluspor	3:0
03.05.19	Boluspor - Hatayspor	1:4
09.12.18	Hatayspor - Boluspor	2:0

Upcoming Matches