Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium (Tehran) 🌤️ ...


	Havadar		Palayesh Naft

	1	X	2
	2.56	2.76	3.00	Watch
	2.53	2.67	2.91	Watch
	2.5	2.66	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.56)	2.7 ↓ (2.76)	2.97 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Havadar
35.8%

Draw
33.6%

Palayesh Naft
30.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

33.4%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

33.1%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Havadar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Palayesh Naft has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havadar than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palayesh Naft than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Havadar - Palayesh Naft Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 6)

Havadar has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Palayesh Naft is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Havadar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Naft Bandar Abbas	7	1	4	2	4:8	-4	7
16	Havadar SC	7	0	2	5	1:10	-9	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Havadar SC
Iran Division 1
02.02.26	Ario Eslamshahr - Havadar	0:0 ✺
27.01.26	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Havadar	3:0 ✺
21.01.26	Havadar - Mes Sungun	0:1 ✺
29.12.25	Havadar - Shenavarsazi Qeshm	2:0 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
20.12.25	Havadar - SaiPa	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLWL
- Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas
Iran Division 1
02.02.26	Palayesh Naft - Niroye Zamini	0:0 ✺
26.01.26	Damash Gilan - Palayesh Naft	0:1 ✺
20.01.26	Palayesh Naft - Nassaji Mazandaran	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Palayesh Naft - SaiPa	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Besat Kermanshah - Palayesh Naft	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
18.09.25	Palayesh Naft - Havadar	0:1

Havadar - Palayesh Naft