Match Info

Date: 19 December 2020, Saturday


	Hawkes Bay United		Waitakere United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	5	1.72	Watch
	2.85	4.6	1.72
	3.2	4	1.89
	3.09	4.79	1.94
	3.25	3.7	1.91
	3.32	3.98	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (4.48)	4.35 ↓ (5)	1.85 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hawkes Bay United
29.3%

Draw
21.1%

Waitakere United
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

18%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2%

14.6%

76.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawkes Bay United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hawkes Bay United's performance.

Waitakere United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Waitakere United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawkes Bay United than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hawkes Bay United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waitakere United than the current prediction. (+27.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Waitakere United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hawkes Bay United - Waitakere United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 and 6).

Hawke's Bay United has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Waitakere United is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Waitakere United is a favorite.

Recent matches Waitakere United is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Last 17 head-to-head matches Hawke's Bay United won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 34-41.

Including matches at home between the teams Hawke's Bay United won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawkes Bay United
New Zealand Premiership
11.12.20	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Hawkes Bay United	3:0 ✺
05.12.20	Hawkes Bay United - Canterbury United	0:3 ✺
28.11.20	Auckland City - Hawkes Bay United	2:1 ✺
20.11.20	Team Wellington - Hawkes Bay United	2:1 ✺
14.11.20	Hawkes Bay United - Hamilton Academical	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Waitakere United
New Zealand Premiership
11.12.20	Waitakere United - Hamilton Academical	1:1 ✺
05.12.20	Eastern Suburbs - Waitakere United	2:2 ✺
27.11.20	Waitakere United - Team Wellington	2:2 ✺
20.11.20	Waitakere United - Wellington Phoenix 2	1:4 ✺
13.11.20	Canterbury United - Waitakere United	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand Premiership
13.03.20	Waitakere United - Hawkes Bay United	5:2
14.12.19	Hawkes Bay United - Waitakere United	4:2
23.02.19	Waitakere United - Hawkes Bay United	7:2
24.11.18	Hawkes Bay United - Waitakere United	4:0
10.03.18	Waitakere United - Hawkes Bay United	1:2
02.12.17	Hawkes Bay United - Waitakere United	1:3
07.01.17	Waitakere United - Hawkes Bay United	1:0

Hawkes Bay United - Waitakere United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide