Match Info

First League - Round 28

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday


	Hayq		Araks Ararat

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.35	6.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 (1.35)	4.35 (4.35)	6.9 (6.9)

The best margin for this event is 11.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hayq
66.4%

Draw
20.6%

Araks Ararat
13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

19.9%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Hayq have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Araks Ararat have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hayq than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araks Ararat than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 8).

Hayq is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Araks is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hayq may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hayq is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hayq won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Including home match between the teams, Hayq won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Araks Ararat	7	3	3	1	10:6	4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Hayq
Armenian First League
27.04.26	Hayq - Sardarapat	0:0 ✺
21.04.26	Pyunik 2 - Hayq	3:2 ✺
14.04.26	Hayq - Lernayin Artsakh	4:0 ✺
07.04.26	BKMA 2 - Hayq	0:1 ✺
24.03.26	Shirak Gyumri 2 - Hayq	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLWWW
- Araks Ararat
Armenian First League
30.04.26	Araks Ararat - BKMA 2	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Araks Ararat - Ararat 2	4:2 ✺
20.04.26	Sardarapat - Araks Ararat	3:0 ✺
14.04.26	Araks Ararat - Pyunik 2	2:2 ✺
24.03.26	Noah 2 - Araks Ararat	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLTT

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