Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 10

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday

Location: Stadion Georgi Benkovski (Pazardzhik)


	Hebar Pazardzhik		Dunav Ruse

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.05	3	2.2	Watch
	3.78	3.15	1.97
	7.88	4.79	1.34	Watch
	3.17	2.93	2.26	Watch
	3.15	2.85	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.21 ↑ (2.87)	3.34 ↑ (2.92)	1.99 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hebar Pazardzhik
22.9%

Draw
28.8%

Dunav Ruse
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

30.9%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

30.8%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hebar Pazardzhik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hebar Pazardzhik's form might have worsened.

Dunav Ruse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dunav Ruse's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hebar Pazardzhik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunav Ruse than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dunav Ruse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Hebar Pazardzhik - Dunav Ruse Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Dunav Ruse will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dunav Ruse: 68.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Dunav Ruse (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Yankov M. (G) 19. Dadakov M. 23. Dishkov I. 10. Dotsev V. 8. Ganchev N. 55. Haydarov M. 18. Kalchev D. 2. Kamenov S. 20. Lyubenov V. 21. Malamov S. 11. Rusinov I.	23. Kitanov G. (G) 14. Apostolov R. 13. Aquila 10. Boychev K. 81. Dilchovski M. 8. El Bakkali Salah B. 26. Hadzhiev K. 18. Keita I. 99. Marinov B. 22. Predev S. 78. Sou E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, El Bakkali Salah B. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 2, Keita I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 3, Boychev K. (Pen),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3).

In recent matches, Hebar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dunav Ruse is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hebar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hebar Pazardzhik
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
20.09.25	Vihren Sandanski - Hebar Pazardzhik	3:2 ✺
14.09.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - CSKA Sofia II	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Spartak Pleven - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Minyor Pernik	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTWLT
- FC Dunav Ruse
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
20.09.25	Dunav Ruse - Chernomorets Burgas	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Dunav Ruse	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	Dunav Ruse - Belasitsa Petrich	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Ludogorets II - Dunav Ruse	1:3 ✺
22.08.25	Vihren Sandanski - Dunav Ruse	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Cup
30.10.24	Dunav Ruse - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:0 penalties

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