Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 7

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Georgi Benkovski (Pazardzhik)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Hebar Pazardzhik		Fratria

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.1	2.2
	2.92	3.45	2.2
	2.97	3.36	2.21	Watch
	2.85	3.15	2.07
	3.01	3.22	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.22)	3.26 ↑ (3.05)	2.17 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hebar Pazardzhik
30.9%

Draw
27.7%

Fratria
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

29.3%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hebar Pazardzhik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hebar Pazardzhik's form might have worsened.

Fratria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fratria's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hebar Pazardzhik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fratria than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fratria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Hebar Pazardzhik - Fratria Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Fratria will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Yankov M. (G) 11. Aleksandrov D. 29. Angelov Y. 3. Krastev A. 27. Mazan R. 98. Mihaylov I. 55. Mihaylov M. 89. Quao L. 96. Sadetinov D. 33. Tilev I. 4. Tsonkov S.	12. Tanev S. (G) 9. Angelov D. 22. Atanasov G. 11. Boev V. 23. Dyulgerov S. 76. Gutierrez D. 13. Isuf A. 8. Rumenov R. 44. Stefanov R. 14. Valkov V. 7. Yanakov D.
Substitutes
18. Arshev P. 92. Gergisharov T. 1. Gruev B. (G) 20. Kuzev E. 7. Pavlov K. 19. Roemer Y. 84. Tisovski S. 9. Vangelov M.	90. Dijinari V. 71. Ibryam I. 17. Kandoussi B. 21. Kapitanov I. 10. Korablin T. 15. Marinov M. 18. Mihalev D. 1. Mladenov M. (G) 4. Peshov K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, ⚽,
52', 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, ⚽,
58', 🟨,
65', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 in the zone Vtora liga (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League).

Hebar has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fratria is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hebar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hebar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Hebar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fratria	11	6	4	1	17:8	9	22
10	Hebar	11	4	2	5	24:19	5	14

Last Results with these Odds

Hebar Pazardzhik - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 39.89%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hebar Pazardzhik
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
29.08.26	Ludogorets II - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Hebar Pazardzhik - Chernomorets Burgas	1:0 ✺
18.08.26	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:3 ✺
11.08.26	CSKA Sofia II - Hebar Pazardzhik	4:3 ✺
02.08.26	Hebar Pazardzhik - Vihren Sandanski	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWWLL
- FC Fratria
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
29.08.26	Fratria - CSKA Sofia II	1:0 ✺
24.08.26	Vihren Sandanski - Fratria	2:2 ✺
14.08.26	Fratria - Beroe Stara Zagora	2:0 ✺
09.08.26	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Fratria	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Fratria - Rilski Sportist	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
05.12.25	Fratria - Hebar Pazardzhik	3:2
05.08.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Fratria	1:3

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