Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 31

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday

Location: Stadion Georgi Benkovski (Pazardzhik)


	Hebar Pazardzhik		Ludogorets II

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.45	4.05
	2.3	3.56	2.72
	2.18	3.87	2.71	Watch
	1.7	3.62	4.23
	1.68	3.4	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.71)	3.58 ↑ (3.56)	3.56 ↓ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hebar Pazardzhik
48.2%

Draw
25.8%

Ludogorets II
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

25.4%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

26.2%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hebar Pazardzhik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Ludogorets II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hebar Pazardzhik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets II than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Hebar Pazardzhik - Ludogorets II Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Ludogorets II (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ludogorets II (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gruev B. (G) 11. Aleksandrov D. 29. Angelov Y. 19. Dadakov M. 23. Kostov I. 20. Lyubenov V. 27. Mazan R. 24. Nepeypiev R. 8. Pehlivanov Z. 55. Petrov A. 33. Tilev I.	69. Stoimenov Z. (G) 29. Bile E. 76. Dimitrov K. 83. Ivanov R. 40. Marinov A. 34. Nikolov N. 81. Penev G. 42. Shishkov S. 75. Syrov E. 5. Terziev G. 98. Yanev N.
Substitutes
10. Chavorski T. 2. Kamenov S. 21. Malamov S. 70. Pavlov K. 18. Pergelov S. 88. Tisovski S. 17. Valchev G. 14. Velchev K. 99. Yankov M. (G)	56. Georgiev Y. 67. Hristov D. (G) 62. Ivanov D. 90. Kirev P. 59. Lukanov A. 97. Nikolov K. 80. Stefanov M. 58. Valekov A. 93. Yordanov Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, ⚽,
35', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 2, ⚽,
67', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
86', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 13).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Hebar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hebar is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hebar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hebar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Hebar	11	4	2	5	24:19	5	14
14	Ludogorets II	10	3	3	4	9:10	-1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hebar Pazardzhik
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.04.26	Hebar Pazardzhik - Chernomorets Burgas	1:3 ✺
22.04.26	CSKA Sofia II - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:2 ✺
09.04.26	Hebar Pazardzhik - Belasitsa Petrich	4:3 ✺
04.04.26	Dunav Ruse - Hebar Pazardzhik	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLTWT
- Ludogorets II
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
16.04.26	Chernomorets Burgas - Ludogorets II	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	Ludogorets II - Minyor Pernik	4:2 ✺
04.04.26	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Ludogorets II	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Ludogorets II - Yantra Gabrovo	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Belasitsa Petrich - Ludogorets II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
12.12.25	Ludogorets II - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:1
08.05.22	Hebar Pazardzhik - Ludogorets II	2:1
08.11.21	Ludogorets II - Hebar Pazardzhik	3:1
09.04.21	Hebar Pazardzhik - Ludogorets II	1:3
03.10.20	Ludogorets II - Hebar Pazardzhik	3:2

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