Match Info

I Lyga - Round 7

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Raudondvario stadionas (Raudondvario)


	Hegelmann Litauen 2		Panevėžys 2

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.7	2.35
	2.09	3.65	2.85
	2.09	3.58	2.88
	2.1	3.74	2.9	Watch
	2.08	3.64	2.91
	2.09	3.65	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.38)	3.66 ↓ (3.82)	2.79 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hegelmann Litauen 2
42.6%

Draw
24.8%

Panevėžys 2
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

23.8%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

23.9%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hegelmann Litauen 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Panevėžys 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Panevėžys 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hegelmann Litauen 2 than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panevėžys 2 than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Panevėžys 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Panevėžys 2 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Panevėžys 2 (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Panevėžys 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bagdonavicius R. (G) 80. Gedziunas S. (C) 17. Harouna A. 88. Janusa K. 25. Keliauskas K. 66. Kukta P. 98. Pastukas J. 59. Polujanski A. 42. Sinkevicius R. 16. Spycius A. 55. Stelmokas N.	13. Bukel D. (G) 97. Asamoah K. 66. Balsys D. 23. Dzinga E. 9. Jusys A. 10. Misiunas R. (C) 29. Okpanachi J. 18. Puikis E. 21. Pusnys M. 30. Slobodian A. 16. Sonkevicius K.
Substitutes
73. Boguzas R. 35. Giedraitis T. 20. Jonaitis L. 71. Jonavicius E. 70. Jonusas G. 37. Morkunas R. (G) 19. Pasilys D. 87. Popiera T. 92. Rudzionis A.	31. Butkus A. 2. Gleveckas D. 14. Kulbis R. 7. Kuodis K. 77. Laimikis L. 12. Valius L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Spycius A. ⚽,
28', Sonkevicius K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 1 - 1, ⚽,
82', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 6).

Hegelmann 2 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Panevėžys 2 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hegelmann 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Hegelmann 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hegelmann Litauen 2
Lithuanian Division 2
26.04.25	Jonava - Hegelmann Litauen 2	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - BFA Vilnius	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Ekranas - Hegelmann Litauen 2	1:2 ✺
16.03.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLLWW
- FK Panevėžys 2
Lithuanian Division 2
28.04.25	Panevėžys 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	4:2 ✺
18.04.25	BFA Vilnius - Panevėžys 2	2:2 ✺
04.04.25	Panevėžys 2 - Ekranas	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Panevėžys 2	1:4 ✺
15.03.25	Panevėžys 2 - Nevėžis	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
28.07.24	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Panevėžys 2	1:0
15.04.24	Panevėžys 2 - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:2
21.11.23	Panevėžys 2 - Hegelmann Litauen 2	4:1 ET

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